Events
Etihad Arena · Yas Island/Yas West, United Arab Emirates· Saturday, October 24

UFC 333 Predictions

UFC 333 features 11 bouts at Etihad Arena in the United Arab Emirates on October 24, 2026. The card is headlined by Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev, and FightIQ predicts the winner, method and round for every fight.

FightIQ Card Record
7/14 winners correct
50%
accuracy

Fight Blog(42)

UFC 333· W Strawweight

Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Iasmin Lucindo takes the victory against Nicolle Caliari by way of decision at UFC 333. She uses her superior technical output to grind out a win over the distance.

UFC 333· Lightweight

Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Noah Gugnon will secure a round 1 knockout victory over Kody Steele at UFC 333. This matchup highlights the explosive potential of Noah Gugnon against the defensive approach of Kody Steele.

UFC 333· Featherweight

Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Santos Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Bolaji Oki defeats Daniel Santos by decision after going the distance in their featherweight clash at UFC 333. This matchup highlights the technical differences between two orthodox strikers looking to climb the rankings.

UFC 333· Light Heavyweight

Nikita Krylov vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Nikita Krylov is the selected winner against Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev in this light heavyweight matchup. The prediction is that Nikita Krylov will secure a victory by way of a decision after the full distance.

UFC 333· Middleweight

Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Jacob Malkoun enters the cage as the selected winner for this middleweight clash at UFC 333. The fight is projected to reach the final bell with Jacob Malkoun emerging victorious by decision.

UFC 333· Middleweight

Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Abus Magomedov faces Cam Rowston at UFC 333 in a middleweight contest. We expect Abus Magomedov to secure the win by decision after the fight goes the full distance.

UFC 333· Light Heavyweight

Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Azamat Murzakanov secures the win against Dominick Reyes at UFC 333. The fight concludes with Azamat Murzakanov earning a knockout victory in round 1.

UFC 333· Heavyweight

Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Alexander Volkov takes on Rizvan Kuniev at UFC 333 in a heavyweight battle. We expect Alexander Volkov to secure a win by decision over the distance.

UFC 333· Flyweight

Ramazan Temirov vs Lone’er Kavanagh Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Ramazan Temirov will secure a victory over Lone’er Kavanagh through a first round knockout. This flyweight matchup at UFC 333 highlights the striking power of the favorite.

UFC 333· Bantamweight

Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Petr Yan enters the octagon at UFC 333 to face Merab Dvalishvili in a high stakes bantamweight clash. We are picking Petr Yan to secure a victory by decision over 5 rounds.

UFC 333· Featherweight

Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Movsar Evloev extends his undefeated record by overcoming Alexander Volkanovski in a tactical featherweight contest. The battle goes to the judges after 5 rounds of intense action.

UFC 333· Lightweight

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Grant Dawson is the locked pick to defeat Nurullo Aliev by decision after going the full 3 rounds at UFC 333. The FightIQ analysis points toward a controlled performance from the more experienced competitor.

UFC 333· Bantamweight

Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Colby Thicknesse is the official pick to defeat Asaf Chopurov in a 3 round bantamweight bout at UFC 333. We expect Colby Thicknesse to secure a victory by decision as the fight goes the full distance.

UFC 333· Featherweight

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita Fight Day Final Prediction and Pick

Aaron Pico secures a clear victory over Losene Keita at UFC 333 by showing superior wrestling and control for the full 3 rounds. The judges reward his consistent output and pressure through the distance.

UFC 333· W Strawweight

Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Iasmin Lucindo will secure a victory by decision over Nicolle Caliari at UFC 333. She maintains composure through 3 rounds to dictate the pace of this strawweight contest.

UFC 333· W Strawweight

Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari Prediction and Pick

Iasmin Lucindo finds her rhythm on the feet to secure a decision victory over Nicolle Caliari at UFC 333. She uses her defensive striking to maintain control and walk away with the win after 3 rounds.

UFC 333· Lightweight

Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Noah Gugnon is the official pick to win the fight against Kody Steele by knockout in the 1st round. He brings a dangerous finishing instinct into the cage to secure the victory.

UFC 333· Lightweight

Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon Prediction and Pick

Noah Gugnon will secure a swift victory over Kody Steele by stopping him in the first round at UFC 333. This lightweight clash features a battle between a gritty veteran and a rising prospect with serious power.

UFC 333· Featherweight

Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Santos Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Bolaji Oki earns the nod to secure a decision victory over Daniel Santos at UFC 333. This matchup tests the striking volume of Oki against the wrestling pressure of his opponent.

UFC 333· Featherweight

Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Santos Prediction and Pick

Bolaji Oki and Daniel Santos meet at UFC 333 for a three round featherweight battle. Bolaji Oki takes home the victory by way of a judges decision after going the distance.

UFC 333· Light Heavyweight

Nikita Krylov vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Nikita Krylov uses his veteran experience and durability to secure a victory against Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev. The fight goes to the judges after 3 hard rounds.

UFC 333· Light Heavyweight

Nikita Krylov vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev Prediction and Pick

Nikita Krylov uses his veteran experience and durability to overcome the undefeated prospect Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev over 3 rounds. We pick Krylov to secure a decision victory in this light heavyweight matchup at UFC 333.

UFC 333· Bantamweight

Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Colby Thicknesse holds the advantage as he takes on Asaf Chopurov in this bantamweight showdown at UFC 333. Our official pick is Colby Thicknesse winning by decision over 3 rounds.

UFC 333· Bantamweight

Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov Prediction and Pick

Colby Thicknesse secures a tactical win against the undefeated Asaf Chopurov in a gritty bantamweight battle. The fight goes the full 3 rounds and ends in a decision for Thicknesse.

UFC 333· Featherweight

Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Movsar Evloev will emerge victorious against Alexander Volkanovski through a decision win after 5 rounds of high stakes action. This fight remains our locked pick for UFC 333.

UFC 333· Featherweight

Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev Prediction and Pick

Movsar Evloev extends his undefeated record by overcoming Alexander Volkanovski through a technical battle that goes the full 5 rounds. This main event at UFC 333 highlights the wrestling dominance of the challenger against the veteran champion.

UFC 333· Bantamweight

Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Petr Yan will secure a decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 333 as he utilizes his superior striking defense and technical proficiency to navigate 5 rounds. This tactical matchup highlights the clash between high output wrestling and elite striking control.

UFC 333· Bantamweight

Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili Prediction and Pick

Petr Yan will secure a decision victory against Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 333. This high stakes bantamweight clash will test the championship mettle of both fighters over 5 hard rounds.

UFC 333· Flyweight

Ramazan Temirov vs Lone’er Kavanagh Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Ramazan Temirov secures a victory over Lone’er Kavanagh through a first round knockout finish. This outcome reflects the distinct skill difference between the 2 fighters as they face off at UFC 333.

UFC 333· Flyweight

Ramazan Temirov vs Lone’er Kavanagh Prediction and Pick

Ramazan Temirov will secure a victory over Lone'er Kavanagh with a first round knockout at UFC 333. This flyweight clash promises explosive exchanges as both fighters look to make their mark.

UFC 333· Heavyweight

Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Alexander Volkov is the pick to win a decision over Rizvan Kuniev at UFC 333. This heavyweight battle relies on technical striking efficiency and managing the distance throughout 3 rounds.

UFC 333· Heavyweight

Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev Prediction and Pick

Alexander Volkov takes on Rizvan Kuniev at UFC 333 in a heavyweight battle. Alexander Volkov wins this fight by decision after it goes the distance.

UFC 333· Featherweight

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Aaron Pico secures a victory against Losene Keita by decision after 3 rounds at UFC 333. Our model holds firm on this pick as the preferred outcome for the featherweight clash.

UFC 333· Featherweight

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita Prediction and Pick

Aaron Pico secures a victory over Losene Keita by decision at the end of 3 rounds. This matchup highlights the wrestling dominance of Pico against a newcomer in the division.

UFC 333· Light Heavyweight

Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Azamat Murzakanov secures the win against Dominick Reyes by way of a first round knockout. This matchup at UFC 333 showcases a dangerous southpaw who possesses the power to end the fight early.

UFC 333· Light Heavyweight

Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes Prediction and Pick

Azamat Murzakanov will defeat Dominick Reyes by way of a round 1 knockout. This clash features two southpaw strikers meeting at light heavyweight during UFC 333.

UFC 333· Middleweight

Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Abus Magomedov is the locked pick to win by decision against Cam Rowston at UFC 333. The veteran uses his well rounded skill set to control the pace of the fight for 3 rounds.

UFC 333· Middleweight

Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston Prediction and Pick

Abus Magomedov relies on his deep experience and tactical wrestling to outwork the undefeated Cam Rowston over 3 rounds at UFC 333. The veteran keeps the fight controlled to secure a decision victory.

UFC 333· Middleweight

Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Jacob Malkoun enters UFC 333 as the chosen winner to defeat Abubakar Vagaev. The tactical approach points toward a grind where Malkoun secures a win after 3 rounds.

UFC 333· Middleweight

Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun Prediction and Pick

Jacob Malkoun faces Abubakar Vagaev at UFC 333 in a middleweight contest. We expect Jacob Malkoun to secure a victory by decision over 3 rounds.

UFC 333· Lightweight

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev Fight Week Breakdown and Prediction

Grant Dawson secures the win over Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333 by staying active and controlling the pace for 3 rounds. The tactical battle favors the veteran experience of Dawson in a decision victory.

UFC 333· Lightweight

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev Prediction and Pick

Grant Dawson secures a win over Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333 by going the full distance. His veteran experience helps him navigate a tough three round lightweight contest to earn the judges decision.

Co-Main Event(1)

Main Card(3)

Prelims(5)

Azamat Murzakanov

16-1

Azamat Murzakanov
VSLight Heavyweight
Dominick Reyes

Dominick Reyes

16-5

Azamat Murzakanov·KO/TKO·R1
VALUE +8%

Confidence

72%Azamat Murzakanov
Strong
72
28
Azamat MurzakanovDominick Reyes
MissActual: Dominick Reyes · KO/TKO

The model placed too much weight on career-long statistical dominance and momentum, ignoring the critical factor of a veteran's 'last stand' psychological bounce and the rapid decline in durability that can manifest suddenly in fighters with history of concussive losses. Murzakanov's technical edge failed to account for the 'puncher's chance' volatility inherent in the light heavyweight division when a former elite contender like Reyes finds a desperate rhythm.

Nikita Krylov

31-12

Nikita Krylov
VSLight Heavyweight
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

10-0

Nikita Krylov·Decision
VALUE +48%

Confidence

67%Nikita Krylov
Strong
67
33
Nikita KrylovAbdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
MissActual: Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev · KO/TKO

I prioritized superior statistical output and FightIQ ratings over the 'striker vs. striker' volatility inherent in heavyweight/light-heavyweight bouts. The model failed to account for the specific 'puncher's chance' reality where a less technically refined fighter with high power can neutralize a superior technician early before the statistical depth of the better fighter can manifest.

Abus Magomedov

29-7-1

Abus Magomedov
VSMiddleweight
Cam Rowston

Cam Rowston

15-3

Abus Magomedov·Decision
VALUE +9%

Confidence

62%Abus Magomedov
Lean
62
38
Abus MagomedovCam Rowston
CorrectActual: Abus Magomedov · Submission

Grant Dawson

24-3-1

Grant Dawson
VSLightweight
Nurullo Aliev
🇹🇯

Nurullo Aliev

12-0

Grant Dawson·Decision
VALUE +10%

Confidence

62%Grant Dawson
Lean
62
38
Grant DawsonNurullo Aliev
CorrectActual: Grant Dawson · Decision

Colby Thicknesse

9-1

Colby Thicknesse
VSBantamweight
Asaf Chopurov

Asaf Chopurov

11-0

UFC DebutComing from UAE Warriors · 6-0
Colby Thicknesse·Decision
VALUE +51%

Confidence

68%Colby Thicknesse
Strong
68
32
Colby ThicknesseAsaf Chopurov
CorrectActual: Colby Thicknesse · Decision

Early Prelims(4)

Abubakar Vagaev

25-4

Abubakar Vagaev
🇷🇺
VSMiddleweight
Jacob Malkoun

Jacob Malkoun

10-3

Jacob Malkoun·Decision
VALUE +18%

Confidence

59%Jacob Malkoun
Lean
41
59
Abubakar VagaevJacob Malkoun
MissActual: Abubakar Vagaev · Decision

I relied too heavily on UFC experience as a proxy for technical superiority while underestimating Vagaev's ability to neutralize Malkoun's wrestling in a high-leverage scenario. Malkoun's inability to dictate the pace against a regional-level opponent with a higher ceiling proved that statistical output against UFC competition does not automatically grant a stylistic advantage over hungry, high-level prospects.

Bolaji Oki

10-4

Bolaji Oki
VSFeatherweight
Daniel Santos

Daniel Santos

14-3

Bolaji Oki·Decision
VALUE +22%

Confidence

70%Bolaji Oki
Strong
70
30
Bolaji OkiDaniel Santos
MissActual: Daniel Santos · Decision

The prediction relied on the assumption that a regional record gap and UFC experience guaranteed performance, failing to account for the actual defensive durability and tactical output of the underdog. The lack of granular data on Santos masked his ability to neutralize a favored prospect by matching output and durability in a high-variance environment.

Kody Steele

8-1

Kody Steele
VSLightweight
Noah Gugnon

Noah Gugnon

10-2

Noah Gugnon·KO/TKO·R1
VALUE +26%

Confidence

68%Noah Gugnon
Strong
32
68
Kody SteeleNoah Gugnon
MissActual: Kody Steele · KO/TKO

I prioritized Gugnon's finishing momentum and theoretical upside over the proven, higher-level competition experience of Steele. By dismissing the established UFC experience as a deciding factor, I underestimated the durability and composure of a fighter who has faced tougher opposition.

Iasmin Lucindo

18-6

Iasmin Lucindo
VSW Strawweight
Nicolle Caliari

Nicolle Caliari

9-4

Iasmin Lucindo·Decision

Confidence

75%Iasmin Lucindo
Strong
75
Iasmin LucindoNicolle Caliari
CorrectActual: Iasmin Lucindo · Decision