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Blog·UFC 333

Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov Prediction

Bantamweight· October 24, 2026

The Pick

Winner Colby ThicknesseMethod DecisionRound Distance68%High

FightIQ rating gap 4 points. Colby Thicknesse rates 56 and Asaf Chopurov rates 52.

The Numbers

Colby Thicknesse carries a FightIQ rating of 56 and Asaf Chopurov sits at 52, a gap of 4 points. The model win probability for Colby Thicknesse stands at 68%, rated High confidence.

The Bantamweight Clash

The upcoming UFC 333 card features a compelling matchup between Colby Thicknesse and Asaf Chopurov. Thicknesse enters the cage with a professional record of 9-1-0 while Chopurov arrives with an undefeated record of 11-0-0. Fans are eager to see if the seasoned veteran can stall the momentum of the newcomer in this 3 round contest.

The Path to Victory

Colby Thicknesse brings 5 bouts of experience within the organization to this fight. His familiarity with the pace of the octagon should serve him well against an opponent who has never competed in this setting. Thicknesse needs to manage the distance and utilize his experience to control the tempo of the exchanges.

Managing the Undefeated Threat

Asaf Chopurov enters the cage with an impressive 91% finish rate. He will look to press the action and secure a stoppage early to avoid going to the judges. Controlling the center of the cage and forcing an early mistake from Thicknesse will be key to his game plan.

Where the Fight Decides

This contest will likely be decided by who dictates the pacing over the 15 minutes of action. Thicknesse has the advantage of having competed 5 times in the UFC while Chopurov is making his debut. A measured approach from the veteran could neutralize the explosive finishing ability of his younger opponent.

The Final Verdict

We anticipate a hard fought contest that tests the resolve of both men. When the final horn sounds we expect the judges to award the victory to Colby Thicknesse. Our locked pick for this fight is Colby Thicknesse by way of decision.

See the full FightIQ breakdown for this fight

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