Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev Fight Day Final Prediction
FightIQ rating gap 10 points. Grant Dawson rates 90 and Nurullo Aliev rates 80.
Grant Dawson is the locked pick to defeat Nurullo Aliev by decision after going the full 3 rounds at UFC 333. The FightIQ analysis points toward a controlled performance from the more experienced competitor.
The Numbers
Grant Dawson carries a FightIQ rating of 90 and Nurullo Aliev sits at 80, a gap of 10 points. The model win probability for Grant Dawson stands at 62%, rated Medium confidence.
The Lightweight Collision Setup
UFC 333 brings a compelling matchup in the lightweight division between Grant Dawson and the undefeated Nurullo Aliev. Grant Dawson enters the cage with a wealth of experience holding a record of 24-3-1 while Nurullo Aliev remains perfect with a 12-0-0 professional record. Both fighters look to climb the ranks with a signature win on a big stage.
Keys To The Matchup
Grant Dawson brings a high volume of grappling activity averaging 3.58 takedowns per 15 minutes along with 1.36 submission attempts. He relies on his switch stance to navigate striking exchanges while maintaining a 51% accuracy rate. On the other side Nurullo Aliev proves difficult to take down with an 80% takedown defense rate. Nurullo Aliev stays active on his feet with 2.72 significant strikes per minute and a 56.73% accuracy rate.
Final Locked Prediction
We expect the veteran savvy of Grant Dawson to dictate the pace of this contest through the full duration. While Nurullo Aliev offers a stiff challenge with his defensive wrestling capabilities Grant Dawson possesses the tools to grind out a victory on the judges scorecards. The official FightIQ prediction remains a win for Grant Dawson by way of a decision after the final bell rings.
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