Nikita Krylov vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev Prediction

Light Heavyweight· October 24, 2026
The Pick
Winner Nikita KrylovMethod DecisionRound Distance67%High

FightIQ rating gap 22 points. Nikita Krylov rates 75 and Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev rates 53.

Nikita Krylov uses his veteran experience and durability to overcome the undefeated prospect Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev over 3 rounds. We pick Krylov to secure a decision victory in this light heavyweight matchup at UFC 333.

The Numbers

Nikita Krylov carries a FightIQ rating of 75 and Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev sits at 53, a gap of 22 points. The model win probability for Nikita Krylov stands at 67%, rated High confidence.

Light Heavyweight Clash Preview

UFC 333 features a compelling clash of styles as veteran Nikita Krylov meets the undefeated Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev. Krylov brings 31 wins and 43 professional bouts of experience to the octagon while Yakhyaev arrives with a perfect 10-0 record. This contest tests whether the raw athleticism of the younger fighter can handle the seasoned approach of a 34-year-old contender.

Paths To Victory

Krylov needs to drag this fight into deep waters and force his opponent to work through adversity for the first time in his career. His ability to absorb pressure and maintain his output across 15 minutes remains his primary path to success. Conversely Yakhyaev aims to utilize his high striking volume of 8.64 significant strikes per minute and aggressive takedown game to overwhelm the veteran early.

Deciding The Outcome

The fight will likely be decided by how effectively Yakhyaev implements his wrestling against a fighter with 53% takedown defense. While the younger fighter shows elite accuracy on the feet at 68% the 20 fight tenure of Krylov in the organization is a massive factor. If Krylov can keep the action standing or scramble back to his feet quickly he will neutralize the primary threats of his opponent.

The Final Verdict

We anticipate a grinding pace where the output of Yakhyaev starts to wane as he enters the second and third rounds. Krylov will stay composed and rely on his consistent striking volume of 4.38 per minute to accumulate rounds on the scorecards. Our pick is Nikita Krylov to win by decision after the fight goes the full distance.

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