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Blog·UFC 333

Kody Steele vs Noah Gugnon Fight Day Final Prediction

Lightweight· October 24, 2026

The Pick

Winner Noah GugnonMethod KO/TKORound 168%High

The Numbers

FightIQ ratings are not on file for both fighters yet, so their records and recent form carry the read. The model win probability for Noah Gugnon stands at 68%, rated High confidence.

The Lightweight Division Matchup

The lightweight division clash features Kody Steele and Noah Gugnon at UFC 333. Kody Steele brings an 8-1-0 professional record into this 3 round contest. Noah Gugnon enters the octagon holding a 10-2-0 record after winning his debut UFC bout.

Keys to the Fight

Noah Gugnon displays high activity with 11.11 submission attempts per 15 minutes of action. He maintains a solid strike defense of 68% while striking at 45.45% accuracy. Kody Steele relies on a 100% takedown defense and averages 3.85 significant strikes per minute.

The Final Verdict

We believe Noah Gugnon will find the opening he needs early in the fight. He is our locked pick to finish this fight via knockout or technical knockout in round 1. This outcome reflects his high pressure approach compared to the defensive setup of Kody Steele.

See the full FightIQ breakdown for this fight

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