Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun Prediction
Betting Odds
Line movement since opening
FightIQ Verdict
"The FightIQ ratings gap is only 29 points, so this is a toss-up rather than a real edge. Treat it as a coin flip. Jacob Malkoun holds a significant advantage in UFC experience and statistical output, consistently proving his ability to navigate higher-level competition. While Abubakar Vagaev is on a win streak, he lacks the UFC sample size and offensive volume to match Malkoun's proven wrestling-heavy game plan."
Jacob Malkoun's ability to maintain high wrestling volume over three rounds despite an aggressive pace, which often leaves opponents like Gerald Meerschaert and Torrez Finney unable to find their rhythm.
Jacob Malkoun holds a significant advantage in UFC experience and statistical output, consistently proving his ability to navigate higher-level competition. While Abubakar Vagaev is on a win streak, he lacks the UFC sample size and offensive volume to match Malkoun's proven wrestling-heavy game plan.
Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun Prediction and Pick
Jacob Malkoun faces Abubakar Vagaev at UFC 333 in a middleweight contest. We expect Jacob Malkoun to secure a victory by decision over 3 rounds.
Why FightIQ Likes Malkoun
Jacob Malkoun lands 4.23 sig strikes/min at 56% accuracy
Malkoun averages 0.75 sub attempts/15 minutes
Malkoun averages 5.39 takedowns/15 minutes with 56% accuracy
Expert Breakdown
How This Fight Plays Out
Grappling match, Jacob Malkoun has the takedown volume edge.
Who drives it
Jacob Malkoun
Hinge stat
takedown defense vs takedown volume
Abubakar Vagaev 71% / Jacob Malkoun 56%: who lands on top decides the rounds
Projected location
Abubakar Vagaev's path
Out-wrestle Jacob Malkoun, 4 TD/15; win the top position exchanges.
Jacob Malkoun's path
Match the wrestling, 5.39 TD/15; deny Abubakar Vagaev's entries and reverse position.
What moved the number
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Abubakar Vagaev
- Jacob Malkoun
Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.