UFC 333

Ramazan Temirov vs Lone’er Kavanagh Prediction

Betting Odds

closing line · 20 snapshots
Ramazan Temirov
-102BetOnline.ag
6 ptsopen -108
48.7% impliedEdge +38.3
Lone’er Kavanagh
-108FanDuel
6 ptsopen -102
50.0% impliedEdge -37

Line movement since opening

Oct 19 17:25Oct 19 17:31Oct 23 18:03Oct 24 13:0148%50%52%54%

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Ramazan Temirov
Ramazan Temirov by KO/TKO (R1)
Ramazan Temirov 87% to win · High confidence
Ramazan Temirov
86.5%
Lone’er Kavanagh
13.5%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
High
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Low

"Ramazan Temirov is a surging force at flyweight, showcasing elite finishing ability with an 80% career finish rate and massive power relative to his division. While Lone’er Kavanagh has faced higher-profile names, his inconsistent durability and recent submission loss to Brandon Royval contrast sharply with Temirov's dominant, undefeated start in the promotion."

What Everyone Misses

Temirov’s 100% takedown defense is the defining metric of this fight; it allows him to keep the fight on the feet where he maintains a massive knockdown-per-15-minute advantage, effectively nullifying Kavanagh’s occasional attempts to initiate scrambles.

FightIQ Blog

Ramazan Temirov vs Lone’er Kavanagh Prediction and Pick

Ramazan Temirov will secure a victory over Lone'er Kavanagh with a first round knockout at UFC 333. This flyweight clash promises explosive exchanges as both fighters look to make their mark.

Why FightIQ Likes Temirov

1
Striking

Temirov registers 2.52 knockdowns per 15 minutes

2
Grappling

Temirov holds 100% takedown defense

3
Wrestling

Temirov defends 100% of takedowns

Expert Breakdown

•Temirov registers 2.52 knockdowns per 15 minutes
•Temirov finishes 80% of his wins via KO/TKO
•Temirov holds 100% takedown defense
•Kavanagh has a recent submission loss to Brandon Royval
•Temirov defends 100% of takedowns
•Kavanagh averages 1.15 takedowns per 15 minutes
•Temirov has gone 8:55 average fight time
•Kavanagh has successfully gone 5 rounds against Brandon Moreno
•Temirov has 0 career KO/TKO losses
•Kavanagh has suffered a KO/TKO loss to Charles Johnson
•Temirov is 3-0 in the UFC
•Kavanagh has faced Brandon Royval, Brandon Moreno, and Charles Johnson
•Temirov is on a 5-fight win streak
•Kavanagh is 2-3 in his last 5 fights

How This Fight Plays Out

Kickboxing match, Ramazan Temirov has the output edge.

Who drives it

Ramazan Temirov

Hinge stat

who lands first / volume vs power

Ramazan Temirov 4.37/min vs Lone’er Kavanagh 4.1/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it

Projected location

Distance 98%Clinch 0%Ground 2%

Ramazan Temirov's path

Out-volume Lone’er Kavanagh at distance; 2.52 knockdowns/min if Lone’er Kavanagh walks in.

Lone’er Kavanagh's path

Out-volume Ramazan Temirov at distance; power on the counter if Ramazan Temirov walks in.

What moved the number

Wrestling vs TDD edge +5.74" reach disadvantage -1.2Momentum edge +0.6Style matchup edge +1.6Camp unknown 0Opponent age/decline edge -0.6

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Ramazan Temirov
  • Lone’er Kavanagh

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.