UFC 333

Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Santos Prediction

Bolaji Oki
Bolaji Oki
"The Zulu Warrior"
10-4
-105
Odds-102
Featherweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score66
Daniel Santos
Daniel Santos
"Willycat"
14-3
-115
Odds-118

Betting Odds

closing line · 16 snapshots
Bolaji Oki
-105BetMGM
215 ptsopen +110
48.9% impliedEdge +21.1
Daniel Santos
-102BetOnline.ag
13 ptsopen -115
48.7% impliedEdge -18.7

Line movement since opening

Oct 20 13:01Oct 23 18:03Oct 24 13:0146%49%52%56%

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Bolaji Oki
Bolaji Oki by Decision
Bolaji Oki 70% to win · High confidence
Bolaji Oki
70%
Daniel Santos
30%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
High
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
High

"One or both fighters have no synced UFC per-minute stats, this pick is grounded on regional/Sherdog-Tapology records (finish rate, method splits, finish rounds, streak, activity), not UFC-level stats. Confidence is capped accordingly. Bolaji Oki holds a massive data advantage as a proven UFC athlete, whereas Daniel Santos enters with no recorded UFC statistics or professional history in our database. Due to the total lack of data on Santos, this is a speculative pick based entirely on the reliability of UFC-tested experience versus the unknown."

What Everyone Misses

The volatility of an unknown opponent: casual fans often underestimate how difficult it is to gameplan for a fighter like Santos who has no tape or track record accessible for analysis.

Executive Summary

Bolaji Oki holds a massive data advantage as a proven UFC athlete, whereas Daniel Santos enters with no recorded UFC statistics or professional history in our database. Due to the total lack of data on Santos, this is a speculative pick based entirely on the reliability of UFC-tested experience versus the unknown.

FightIQ Blog

Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Santos Prediction and Pick

Bolaji Oki and Daniel Santos meet at UFC 333 for a three round featherweight battle. Bolaji Oki takes home the victory by way of a judges decision after going the distance.

Why FightIQ Likes Oki

1
Striking

Bolaji Oki: 6.42 sig. strikes/min

2
Grappling

Oki: 1.02 takedowns/15 min

3
Wrestling

Oki: 57% takedown accuracy

Expert Breakdown

•Bolaji Oki: 6.42 sig. strikes/min
•Oki: 45% accuracy, 61% defense
•Oki: 1.02 takedowns/15 min
•Oki: 75% takedown defense
•Oki: 57% takedown accuracy
•No data for Santos
•Oki: Proven 3-round distance capability
•No data for Santos
•Oki: No recorded KO losses
•No data for Santos
•Oki: 1 UFC bout (Win vs Michael Aswell Jr.)
•Santos: No UFC experience
•Oki: Coming off a decision win
•Santos: No record

How This Fight Plays Out

Kickboxing match, Bolaji Oki has the output edge.

Who drives it

Bolaji Oki

Hinge stat

who lands first / volume vs power

Bolaji Oki 6.42/min vs Daniel Santos 5.15/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it

Projected location

Distance 94%Clinch 1%Ground 5%

Bolaji Oki's path

Out-volume Daniel Santos at distance; power on the counter if Daniel Santos walks in.

Daniel Santos's path

Out-volume Bolaji Oki at distance; 0.43 knockdowns/min if Bolaji Oki walks in.

What moved the number

Opponent wrestling edge -2Opponent power vs chin edge -0.96" reach advantage +1.8Style matchup edge +1.8Camp unknown 0Age/decline edge +0.3Opponent ring rust edge -0.7

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Bolaji Oki
  • Daniel Santos

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.

Bolaji Oki
Bolaji Oki
Daniel Santos
Daniel Santos