Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes Fight Day Final Prediction

Light Heavyweight· October 24, 2026
The Pick
Winner Azamat MurzakanovMethod KO/TKORound 172%High

FightIQ rating gap 16 points. Azamat Murzakanov rates 87 and Dominick Reyes rates 71.

Azamat Murzakanov secures the win against Dominick Reyes at UFC 333. The fight concludes with Azamat Murzakanov earning a knockout victory in round 1.

The Numbers

Azamat Murzakanov carries a FightIQ rating of 87 and Dominick Reyes sits at 71, a gap of 16 points. The model win probability for Azamat Murzakanov stands at 72%, rated High confidence.

The Light Heavyweight Showdown

UFC 333 brings a compelling battle at 205 pounds as Azamat Murzakanov faces off against Dominick Reyes. Both fighters enter the cage with extensive experience and a southpaw stance. The contest pits the 16-1-0 record of Azamat Murzakanov against the 16-5-0 record held by Dominick Reyes.

Technical Keys to Victory

Azamat Murzakanov enters the bout with a striking accuracy of 57% and a solid 61% strike defense. He maintains a consistent output of 4.93 significant strikes per minute. Dominick Reyes brings a striking accuracy of 49% and must navigate the defensive prowess of his opponent to find success.

Final Call and Prediction

The path to victory for Azamat Murzakanov relies on his ability to pressure and land heavy strikes early. We expect him to dictate the pace and overwhelm his opponent quickly. The final call is for Azamat Murzakanov to secure a finish by way of KO or TKO in round 1.

Weekly Newsletter

Get FightIQ picks in your inbox every week

Blog breakdowns and cashed slips, sent every Thursday morning.