Nikita Krylov vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev Fight Day Final Prediction

Light Heavyweight· October 24, 2026
The Pick
Winner Nikita KrylovMethod DecisionRound Distance67%High

FightIQ rating gap 22 points. Nikita Krylov rates 75 and Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev rates 53.

Nikita Krylov is the selected winner against Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev in this light heavyweight matchup. The prediction is that Nikita Krylov will secure a victory by way of a decision after the full distance.

The Numbers

Nikita Krylov carries a FightIQ rating of 75 and Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev sits at 53, a gap of 22 points. The model win probability for Nikita Krylov stands at 67%, rated High confidence.

The Setup at UFC 333

Nikita Krylov enters this contest with 31 professional victories over his 43 career appearances. He has navigated 20 fights inside the UFC octagon across his 34 years of age. His opponent Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev remains undefeated with a perfect 10-0 record and a 3-0 mark within the promotion.

Key Tactical Considerations

Nikita Krylov utilizes an orthodox stance and averages 4.38 significant strikes per minute with 54% accuracy. He also maintains a tactical ground game with 2.19 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.14 submission attempts per 15 minutes. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev arrives with a higher volume of 8.64 significant strikes per minute and a 100% takedown defense rate. The contrast between the seasoned experience of Nikita Krylov and the aggressive pace of Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev will define the flow of this 3 round fight.

Our Official Final Call

We anticipate that the durability and technical depth of Nikita Krylov will prevail over the course of the 3 scheduled rounds. While Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev brings a high intensity and significant output to the cage, the path to success for the veteran involves stifling that momentum. We are officially siding with Nikita Krylov to emerge triumphant by decision when the final bell rings.

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