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Jonny Parsons vs Jose Henrique Prediction

Jonny Parsons
Jonny Parsons
"The Sluggernaut"
9-3
Welterweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score57
Jose Henrique
Jose Henrique
"Canela"
9-1

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Jonny Parsons
Jonny Parsons by Decision
Jonny Parsons 68% to win · High confidence
Jonny Parsons
68.9%
Jose Henrique
31.1%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
High
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
High

"Jonny Parsons is the more battle-tested fighter with proven UFC experience and a reliable striking volume. While Jose Henrique possesses significant physical advantages, his lack of high-level statistical output makes Parsons the safer pick in a matchup defined by thin datasets."

What Everyone Misses

The massive reach discrepancy; Henrique’s 10-inch reach advantage over Parsons is atypical for the weight class and could neutralize Parsons' pocket-boxing approach if Henrique maintains disciplined distance control.

FightIQ Blog

Jonny Parsons vs Jose Henrique Prediction and Pick

Jonny Parsons earns a hard fought decision victory against Jose Henrique. This welterweight contest goes the distance as both men look to keep their momentum rolling in the UFC.

Why FightIQ Likes Parsons

1
Striking

Parsons lands 4.65 sig-strikes/min

2
Wrestling

Parsons has 66% TD defense

3
Durability

Parsons has never been stopped by KO or Submission

Expert Breakdown

•Parsons lands 4.65 sig-strikes/min
•Henrique has no recorded UFC striking data
•Parsons has 0 sub attempts/15
•Henrique has 0 sub attempts/15
•Parsons has 66% TD defense
•Henrique has no recorded UFC TD data
•Parsons went 3 full rounds against Solomon Renfro
•Henrique went 3 full rounds against Ding Meng
•Parsons has never been stopped by KO or Submission
•Henrique remains undefeated in his professional career
•Parsons has UFC wins over Danny Roberts and Solomon Renfro
•Henrique has regional experience against Ding Meng and P. Alves Jr.
•Parsons is on a 2-fight win streak dating back to 2021
•Henrique is on a 2-fight win streak dating back to 2024

How This Fight Plays Out

Kickboxing match, Jonny Parsons has the output edge.

Who drives it

Jonny Parsons

Hinge stat

who lands first / volume vs power

Jonny Parsons 4.65/min vs Jose Henrique 0/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it

Projected location

Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%

Jonny Parsons's path

Out-volume Jose Henrique at distance; power on the counter if Jose Henrique walks in.

Jose Henrique's path

Out-volume Jonny Parsons at distance; power on the counter if Jonny Parsons walks in.

What moved the number

Wrestling vs TDD edge +3.710" reach disadvantage -2Style matchup edge +0.8Camp unknown 0Opponent age/decline edge -1.2Opponent ring rust edge -1.7

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Jonny Parsons
  • Jose Henrique

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.