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Blog·UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady

Jonny Parsons vs Jose Henrique Prediction

Welterweight· November 7, 2026

The Pick

Winner Jonny ParsonsMethod DecisionRound Distance68%High

FightIQ rating gap 2 points. Jonny Parsons rates 56 and Jose Henrique rates 54.

Jonny Parsons earns a hard fought decision victory against Jose Henrique. This welterweight contest goes the distance as both men look to keep their momentum rolling in the UFC.

The Numbers

Jonny Parsons carries a FightIQ rating of 56 and Jose Henrique sits at 54, a gap of 2 points. The model win probability for Jonny Parsons stands at 68%, rated High confidence.

The Welterweight Matchup

Jonny Parsons and Jose Henrique meet in the octagon for a compelling welterweight showdown at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters enter this bout with 1 UFC win under their belts. Parsons brings 9 wins and 3 losses to the cage while Henrique sports an impressive 9 and 1 record. Fans expect a technical battle as these two athletes look to secure their second victory in the promotion.

How Jonny Parsons Wins

Parsons thrives on his experience at 35 years old and his refined striking game. He averages 4.65 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 44%. By maintaining his 60% strike defense and 66% takedown defense, he can dictate the pace of the standup exchanges throughout the 3 rounds.

How Jose Henrique Wins

The 24-year-old Henrique represents a fresh challenge for his veteran opponent. He needs to bring intensity and athleticism to test the defensive capabilities of Parsons. If Henrique can solve the puzzle of his opponent early, he might disrupt the rhythm of the more experienced fighter.

Where The Fight Decides

The outcome likely hinges on volume and cage control throughout the duration of the fight. Since neither fighter relies heavily on takedowns or submission attempts, the action stays on the feet for most of the night. The ability of Parsons to manage the distance and land consistent combinations will prove pivotal.

The Final Verdict

We believe this fight plays out in favor of Jonny Parsons over the full distance. He possesses the necessary skills to navigate the threat of Henrique and secure rounds through active striking. Our locked pick for this UFC Fight Night event is Jonny Parsons winning by decision.

See the full FightIQ breakdown for this fight

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