Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke Prediction
Betting Odds
Odds not posted yet
FightIQ Verdict
"The FightIQ ratings gap is only 19 points, so this is a toss-up rather than a real edge. Treat it as a coin flip. Stephen Thompson holds a significant technical advantage in striking and relies on a career-long ability to manage distance against opponents who lack elite wrestling. While Thompson is on a losing streak, he remains a far more proven commodity than Radtke, who lacks the defensive data and consistency to solve Thompson’s karate-based entries."
Radtke's total lack of defensive metrics in the UFC, combined with his reliance on trading inside the pocket, makes him a prime target for Thompson's blitz-and-exit karate game; he has never faced a high-level point striker who forces him to chase through open space.
Stephen Thompson holds a significant technical advantage in striking and relies on a career-long ability to manage distance against opponents who lack elite wrestling. While Thompson is on a losing streak, he remains a far more proven commodity than Radtke, who lacks the defensive data and consistency to solve Thompson’s karate-based entries.
Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke Prediction and Pick
Stephen Thompson utilizes his superior striking volume and distance management to secure a decision victory against Charles Radtke at UFC 334. Experience serves as the deciding factor as Thompson controls the flow of the fight over 3 rounds.
Why FightIQ Likes Thompson
Thompson averages 4.05 sig-strikes/min with 46% accuracy.
Thompson has a 63% takedown defense rate.
Thompson has competed in numerous five-round main events.
Expert Breakdown
How This Fight Plays Out
Kickboxing match, Stephen Thompson has the output edge.
Who drives it
Stephen Thompson
Hinge stat
who lands first / volume vs power
Stephen Thompson 4.05/min vs Charles Radtke 2.32/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it
Projected location
Stephen Thompson's path
Out-volume Charles Radtke at distance; power on the counter if Charles Radtke walks in.
Charles Radtke's path
Out-volume Stephen Thompson at distance; power on the counter if Stephen Thompson walks in.
What moved the number
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Stephen Thompson
- Charles Radtke
Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.