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Blog·UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling

Jared Cannonier vs Ikram Aliskerov Prediction

Middleweight· November 21, 2026

The Pick

Winner Ikram AliskerovMethod DecisionRound Distance68%High

Ikram Aliskerov will defeat Jared Cannonier by decision when they meet at UFC Fight Night. This middleweight contest features an experienced veteran facing a rising prospect over 3 rounds.

The Numbers

FightIQ ratings are not on file for both fighters yet, so their records and recent form carry the read. The model win probability for Ikram Aliskerov stands at 68%, rated High confidence.

The Middleweight Clash

Jared Cannonier enters this fight with a long history inside the octagon spanning 21 bouts. He relies on his switch stance and power to pressure opponents while looking for openings. Ikram Aliskerov brings a fresh challenge with a 18-2-0 record and looks to prove he belongs among the elite at 33 years of age.

How Jared Cannonier Wins

For Jared Cannonier to secure a victory he must leverage his 11-10 record of experience to control the pace of the standup exchanges. His ability to land 4.25 significant strikes per minute will be vital against a fast opponent. He needs to stuff takedowns and keep the fight in the center of the cage to land his own power shots.

How Ikram Aliskerov Wins

Ikram Aliskerov can win this fight by utilizing his 3.82 takedowns per 15 minutes to dictate where the action takes place. His 100% takedown defense ensures he can stay upright when he chooses to strike. By mixing his 60% striking accuracy with grappling pressure he will drain the energy of his opponent.

Where Fight Is Decided

The bout will likely be decided by the effectiveness of the clinch and the scramble. Ikram Aliskerov shows a high technical ceiling with his 0.7 submission attempts per 15 minutes and constant forward motion. Jared Cannonier must survive the initial onslaught to make the later rounds competitive.

The Final Verdict

We believe Ikram Aliskerov has the necessary tools to outwork his veteran counterpart over 15 minutes. While Jared Cannonier remains a dangerous striker at 42 he may struggle with the pace and wrestling of his opponent. Ikram Aliskerov will win this fight by decision at the conclusion of the distance.

See the full FightIQ breakdown for this fight

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