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Blog·UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit

Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui Prediction

Middleweight· November 14, 2026

The Pick

Winner Caio BorralhoMethod DecisionRound Distance62%Medium

FightIQ rating gap 6 points. Caio Borralho rates 88 and Yousri Belgaroui rates 82.

Caio Borralho wins by decision against Yousri Belgaroui at UFC 334. The matchup between these two middleweights promises a technical chess match over 3 rounds.

The Numbers

Caio Borralho carries a FightIQ rating of 88 and Yousri Belgaroui sits at 82, a gap of 6 points. The model win probability for Caio Borralho stands at 62%, rated Medium confidence.

Middleweight clash at UFC 334

The middleweight division sees a compelling battle as Caio Borralho takes on Yousri Belgaroui. Borralho enters the cage with a record of 18-2-0 while Belgaroui brings his 11-3-0 record into the octagon. Fans can expect a high level of intensity from these 2 competitors during this 3 round encounter.

Analyzing the striking dynamics

Yousri Belgaroui enters this fight with 6.1 significant strikes per minute and an accuracy rate of 64%. He utilizes a volume heavy approach that could cause trouble for opponents. Caio Borralho counters with 3.47 significant strikes per minute and an accuracy of 56%. His defensive awareness is demonstrated by a 60% striking defense rate.

Ground game and defensive keys

Caio Borralho showcases a versatile skill set with 1.25 takedowns per 15 minutes. He also boasts a takedown defense rate of 76% which helps him dictate where the fight takes place. Yousri Belgaroui faces a challenge on the mat given his 67% takedown defense. His focus will likely remain on keeping the fight standing to utilize his striking volume.

Deciding the fight outcome

The fight will likely be decided by who controls the pace of the standup exchanges. Borralho relies on his experience from 9 UFC bouts to navigate complex scenarios against the surging Belgaroui. If Borralho can maintain his defensive positioning and land timely takedowns he will likely neutralize the offensive output of his opponent.

The official locked pick

After careful evaluation of the tactical matchups we are picking Caio Borralho to win this contest. We expect the fight to go the distance and result in a decision victory for Borralho. This remains the official selection for the fight between these 2 middleweight contenders.

See the full FightIQ breakdown for this fight

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