Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita Prediction
FightIQ rating gap 21 points. Macy Chiasson rates 56 and Bia Mesquita rates 77.
Bia Mesquita maintains her unbeaten streak with a tactical performance against Macy Chiasson at UFC 334. Mesquita secures a win over the distance to solidify her place in the bantamweight division.
The Numbers
Macy Chiasson carries a FightIQ rating of 56 and Bia Mesquita sits at 77, a gap of 21 points. The model win probability for Bia Mesquita stands at 75%, rated High confidence.
An Intriguing Bantamweight Clash
The women bantamweight division sees an exciting matchup at UFC 334 as Macy Chiasson prepares to face the undefeated Bia Mesquita. Both fighters are 35 years old and bring distinct skill sets to the cage in this 3 round contest. Chiasson looks to use her 5 bouts of UFC experience to navigate the challenge posed by the newcomer. Mesquita enters this bout with a perfect 8-0-0 record and aims to keep her momentum alive against a veteran opponent.
Pathways To Victory
Macy Chiasson enters the cage with an orthodox stance and a focus on maintaining distance. She lands 3.21 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 46% and averages 1.87 takedowns per 15 minutes. To find success she must utilize her 62% takedown defense to keep the action standing where she can dictate the pace of the fight. If she keeps the fight in space she creates problems for any opponent.
Executing The Game Plan
Bia Mesquita brings a high level of activity to the octagon that is evidenced by her 4.52 significant strikes per minute and 57% striking accuracy. She is aggressive on the ground with 3.6 submission attempts per 15 minutes and 3.57 takedowns per 15 minutes. By pressure and constant movement she forces her opponents to react to her pace rather than setting their own. Her 71% striking defense provides a solid foundation for her to outwork Chiasson throughout the duration of the fight.
Deciding Where It Matters
This matchup is likely decided by which fighter controls the space and the transition game. While Chiasson is comfortable fighting from the outside she will struggle with the constant forward pressure and volume of her opponent. Mesquita excels when she initiates grappling exchanges and forces the fight toward the canvas. Her ability to consistently land takedowns and threaten with submissions will be the deciding factor as the clock ticks down.
The Final Verdict
We are confident in our selection of Bia Mesquita to come away with the win in this encounter. She is expected to control the action over the distance to earn a decision victory. We believe her well rounded skill set and high activity level will prove too much for Chiasson to overcome in this 3 round fight.
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