Sedriques Dumas vs Luis Hernandez Prediction


Betting Odds
Odds not posted yet
FightIQ Verdict
"The numbers point to Luis Hernandez, who rates 38 points higher than Sedriques Dumas (67 vs 29) and holds the data-backed edge."
The massive disparity in the caliber of opposition. Dumas has endured multiple UFC-level high-intensity exchanges, whereas Hernandez's 8-0 record was built against regional competition with a composite score of 37/100, which often masks glaring defensive holes that UFC-level athletes will immediately exploit.
Why FightIQ Likes Hernandez
Dumas averages 1.97 sig. strikes per minute
Hernandez has 2.49 sub attempts per 15 minutes
Dumas is coming off a submission loss to Jackson McVey
Expert Breakdown
How This Fight Plays Out
Coin-flip on where it goes, hinges on Luis Hernandez's TDD vs Sedriques Dumas's entries.
Who drives it
Even
Hinge stat
Luis Hernandez's takedown defense
no data: no TDD data on Luis Hernandez, if it holds, striker's fight; if not, wrestler's
Projected location
Sedriques Dumas's path
Shoot behind 1.3 takedowns/15 at 31.58% accuracy vs Luis Hernandez's —% TDD. Once it sticks, control the top and ride out rounds.
Luis Hernandez's path
Defend Sedriques Dumas's entries; if you sprawl, 11.14 strikes/min and your power decide it on the feet.
What moved the number
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Sedriques Dumas
- Luis Hernandez
Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): TD Defense, Finish Rate.