Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor Berggren Prediction
Betting Odds
Line movement since opening
Movement chart appears after a second odds pull with a changed line.
FightIQ Verdict
"This matchup features two fighters with extremely limited and inconsistent UFC data, making high confidence impossible. Sezinando possesses a more proven track record of finishing fights outside the promotion, while Berggren lacks a meaningful sample size or any recorded finish in his career."
The massive reach discrepancy; Berggren holds a 4-inch reach advantage, which is significant for a low-volume fighter like Sezinando who struggles with striking defense (43%) and could be kept at bay throughout the bout.
Rodrigo Sezinando vs Theodor Berggren Prediction and Pick
Rodrigo Sezinando is the pick to defeat Theodor Berggren by decision after 3 rounds of hard fought action. This welterweight contest features two hungry fighters looking to make a statement inside the octagon.
Why FightIQ Likes Sezinando
Sezinando: 3.37 takedowns/15, 67% TD defense
Sezinando: 1-1 UFC record
Expert Breakdown
How This Fight Plays Out
Coin-flip on where it goes, hinges on Theodor Berggren's TDD vs Rodrigo Sezinando's entries.
Who drives it
Even
Hinge stat
Theodor Berggren's takedown defense
no data: no TDD data on Theodor Berggren, if it holds, striker's fight; if not, wrestler's
Projected location
Rodrigo Sezinando's path
Shoot behind 3.37 takedowns/15 at 25% accuracy vs Theodor Berggren's —% TDD. Once it sticks, control the top and ride out rounds.
Theodor Berggren's path
Defend Rodrigo Sezinando's entries; if you sprawl, 3.49 strikes/min and your power decide it on the feet.
What moved the number
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Rodrigo Sezinando
- Theodor Berggren
Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.