UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan

Nick Klein vs Joe Kropschot Prediction

Betting Odds

opening line · 1 snapshot
Nick Klein
+252BetOnline.ag
flatopen +252
27.3% impliedEdge -9.3
Joe Kropschot
-310BetOnline.ag
flatopen -310
72.7% impliedEdge +9.3

Line movement since opening

Movement chart appears after a second odds pull with a changed line.

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Joe Kropschot
Joe Kropschot by Submission (R2)
Joe Kropschot 82% to win · High confidence
Nick Klein
17.2%
Joe Kropschot
82.8%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
High
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Medium

"Joe Kropschot enters with superior momentum, proven finishing ability on the regional circuit, and active fight data compared to Nick Klein's inactive status and back-to-back stoppage losses. While Kropschot lacks UFC experience, his high striking output and versatile submission game suggest he is the more dangerous and well-rounded fighter in this matchup."

What Everyone Misses

Klein has not fought in over 445 days and has shown significant defensive lapses in his two UFC appearances, while Kropschot is currently active and riding a 5-fight winning streak that has sharpened his ability to close the show.

FightIQ Blog

Nick Klein vs Joe Kropschot Prediction and Pick

Joe Kropschot makes his debut against Nick Klein in a middleweight clash that should end on the canvas. We expect Kropschot to secure a submission victory in round 2.

Why FightIQ Likes Kropschot

1
Striking

Kropschot averages 7.93 sig-strikes/min

2
Grappling

Kropschot averages 3.0 sub-attempts/15

3
Wrestling

Kropschot holds 50% TD defense

Expert Breakdown

•Kropschot averages 7.93 sig-strikes/min
•Kropschot maintains 61% striking accuracy
•Kropschot averages 3.0 sub-attempts/15
•Kropschot has 6 career submission wins
•Kropschot holds 50% TD defense
•Klein has zero recorded takedowns in UFC
•Kropschot average fight time is 6:38
•Klein has no recorded avg fight time
•Klein has 2 losses by KO/TKO
•Kropschot loss by KO vs Daniel Compton
•Kropschot 12 pro fights
•Klein 9 pro fights
•Kropschot on 5-fight win streak
•Klein on 2-fight loss streak

How This Fight Plays Out

Kickboxing match, Joe Kropschot has the output edge.

Who drives it

Joe Kropschot

Hinge stat

who lands first / volume vs power

Nick Klein 0/min vs Joe Kropschot 7.93/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it

Projected location

Distance 93%Clinch 0%Ground 7%

Nick Klein's path

Out-volume Joe Kropschot at distance; power on the counter if Joe Kropschot walks in.

Joe Kropschot's path

Out-volume Nick Klein at distance; power on the counter if Nick Klein walks in.

What moved the number

Opponent wrestling edge -2.82" reach disadvantage -0.6Opponent momentum edge -0.5Opponent style edge -0.7Camp unknown 0Opponent ring rust edge -0.7

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Nick Klein
  • Joe Kropschot

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.