Dakota Hope vs Francis Marshall Prediction
Betting Odds
Line movement since opening
Movement chart appears after a second odds pull with a changed line.
FightIQ Verdict
"Francis Marshall holds a significant experience and reach advantage over the unproven Dakota Hope. While Hope shows high striking volume, Marshall’s proven UFC track record of 4-3 and superior defensive statistics make him the much safer play against a fighter who has yet to win in the Octagon."
Hope's high strike volume of 7.07 sig-strikes/min is heavily inflated by a small sample size in his loss to Kai Kamaka III, while Marshall’s lower volume is a byproduct of a strategic, clinch-heavy approach that neutralizes high-output strikers.
Dakota Hope vs Francis Marshall Prediction and Pick
Francis Marshall earns a decision victory over Dakota Hope in this featherweight matchup. The technical composure of Francis Marshall carries him to success over the distance.
Why FightIQ Likes Marshall
Hope: 7.07 sig-strikes/min at 41% accuracy
Marshall: 0.61 sub attempts/15 mins
Marshall: 2.04 takedowns/15 mins at 41.67% accuracy
Expert Breakdown
How This Fight Plays Out
Dakota Hope's elite TDD turns this into a striking fight, Francis Marshall can't get it down.
Who drives it
Dakota Hope
Hinge stat
Dakota Hope's takedown defense
100%: 100% TDD shuts down the wrestling, Dakota Hope forces a striking fight
Projected location
Dakota Hope's path
100% TDD keeps it standing, make it a kickboxing match.
Francis Marshall's path
Shoot behind 2.04 takedowns/15 at 41.67% accuracy vs Dakota Hope's 100% TDD. The entries will be contested, chain attempts and mix in fence wrestling; if it stays standing you're losing.
What moved the number
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Dakota Hope
- Francis Marshall
Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.