Azamat Bekoev vs Andre Petroski Prediction
Betting Odds
Line movement since opening
Movement chart appears after a second odds pull with a changed line.
FightIQ Verdict
"Andre Petroski holds a significant edge in FightIQ rating at 78 compared to Azamat Bekoev's 68, underpinned by superior defensive metrics. While Bekoev possesses higher raw finishing power, Petroski's elite 86% takedown defense and greater experience against seasoned UFC opponents make him the more reliable side to dictate the fight's location."
Casual observers focus on Bekoev's 100% career finish rate, missing that he is highly vulnerable to being finished himself. Petroski's wrestling pedigree and significantly higher takedown defense (86% vs 63%) allow him to neutralize Bekoev's aggression and turn the fight into a grinding affair where Bekoev has shown weakness.
Azamat Bekoev vs Andre Petroski Prediction and Pick
Andre Petroski will secure a victory against Azamat Bekoev through a tactical decision over 3 rounds. This middleweight bout showcases a clash between a durable wrestler and a volume striker.
Why FightIQ Likes Petroski
Bekoev: 4.57 sig/min at 52% accuracy
Bekoev: 1.2 sub attempts/15
Petroski: 86% TD defense
Expert Breakdown
How This Fight Plays Out
Grappling match, Azamat Bekoev has the takedown volume edge.
Who drives it
Azamat Bekoev
Hinge stat
takedown defense vs takedown volume
Azamat Bekoev 63% / Andre Petroski 86%: who lands on top decides the rounds
Projected location
Azamat Bekoev's path
Out-wrestle Andre Petroski, 3.48 TD/15; win the top position exchanges.
Andre Petroski's path
Match the wrestling, 3.13 TD/15; deny Azamat Bekoev's entries and reverse position.
What moved the number
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Azamat Bekoev
- Andre Petroski
Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.