Vitor Petrino vs Serghei Spivac Prediction
Betting Odds
Odds not posted yet
FightIQ Verdict
"Vitor Petrino holds a slight edge due to his superior 79% takedown defense, which should neutralize Serghei Spivac's preferred grappling game. While both are coming off inconsistent performances, Petrino's higher durability profile and ability to keep the fight standing favor him in a grinding Heavyweight matchup."
The striking output in this fight is deceptive; while Spivac has a higher sig-strikes/min, he relies entirely on grappling to set up his offense. Petrino’s ability to defend the clinch and force Spivac to fight at range creates a stylistic bottleneck where Spivac’s lack of defensive striking polish becomes a massive liability.
Why FightIQ Likes Petrino
Petrino: 3.24 sig-strikes/min at 49% accuracy
Petrino: 2.6 takedowns/15 with 79% TD defense
Avg fight time: Petrino (10:23), Spivac (8:22)
Expert Breakdown
How This Fight Plays Out
Vitor Petrino edges it on the feet; Serghei Spivac needs the takedown to flip the script.
Who drives it
Vitor Petrino
Hinge stat
Vitor Petrino's takedown defense
79%: 79% TDD is high; Serghei Spivac can still grind but the edge tilts to Vitor Petrino
Projected location
Vitor Petrino's path
Defend Serghei Spivac's entries; if you sprawl, 3.24 strikes/min and 0.58 knockdowns/min decide it on the feet.
Serghei Spivac's path
Shoot behind 3.82 takedowns/15 at 0% accuracy vs Vitor Petrino's 79% TDD. The entries will be contested, chain attempts and mix in fence wrestling; if it stays standing you're losing.
What moved the number
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Vitor Petrino
- Serghei Spivac
Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.