Jeisla Chaves vs Carli Judice Prediction
Betting Odds
Odds not posted yet
FightIQ Verdict
"Carli Judice holds a massive statistical advantage in output and proven UFC experience compared to Chaves. While Chaves remains undefeated, her limited sample size and lower volume make it difficult to overcome the pace and high-level defensive metrics Judice has demonstrated over eight UFC appearances."
Casual fans focus on Chaves' undefeated record, ignoring that Judice has maintained an 81% takedown defense rate while facing higher-volume, more established UFC competition, effectively neutralizing the path for fighters who rely on basic grappling to stifle her striking.
Why FightIQ Likes Judice
Judice lands 9.32 sig-strikes/min vs Chaves at 4.97
Chaves averages 0.5 sub-attempts/15
Judice holds an 81% takedown defense rate
Expert Breakdown
How This Fight Plays Out
Kickboxing match, Carli Judice has the output edge.
Who drives it
Carli Judice
Hinge stat
who lands first / volume vs power
Jeisla Chaves 4.97/min vs Carli Judice 9.32/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it
Projected location
Jeisla Chaves's path
Out-volume Carli Judice at distance; power on the counter if Carli Judice walks in.
Carli Judice's path
Out-volume Jeisla Chaves at distance; 0.52 knockdowns/min if Jeisla Chaves walks in.
What moved the number
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Jeisla Chaves
- Carli Judice
Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.