Guilherme Pat vs Steven Asplund Prediction
Betting Odds
Odds not posted yet
FightIQ Verdict
"Steven Asplund’s extreme output and finishing efficiency provide a clear statistical advantage over Guilherme Pat, whose low volume suggests he will be overwhelmed. Asplund's 6 KO wins in 7 victories demonstrate the fight-ending capability required to overcome the defensive volatility of this heavyweight matchup."
The massive disparity in offensive volume; Asplund averages 10.05 sig-strikes/min compared to Pat's 2.7, which at the heavyweight level is a significant indicator of who will dictate the pace and force the other to fight off the back foot.
Why FightIQ Likes Asplund
Asplund: 10.05 sig-strikes/min, 52% accuracy
Expert Breakdown
How This Fight Plays Out
Kickboxing match, Steven Asplund has the output edge.
Who drives it
Steven Asplund
Hinge stat
who lands first / volume vs power
Guilherme Pat 2.7/min vs Steven Asplund 10.05/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it
Projected location
Guilherme Pat's path
Out-volume Steven Asplund at distance; power on the counter if Steven Asplund walks in.
Steven Asplund's path
Out-volume Guilherme Pat at distance; 1.25 knockdowns/min if Guilherme Pat walks in.
What moved the number
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Guilherme Pat
- Steven Asplund
Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): TD Accuracy, Finish Rate.