Alexia Thainara vs Amanda Lemos Prediction
Betting Odds
Odds not posted yet
FightIQ Verdict
"Alexia Thainara holds a significant statistical advantage in grappling pressure and defensive reliability compared to the aging Amanda Lemos. While Lemos brings superior finishing power, her defensive vulnerabilities and higher loss rate against high-level grapplers like Virna Jandiroba and Gillian Robertson make her susceptible to Thainara’s relentless takedown game."
Casual observers focus on Lemos's finishing power, but they overlook that Lemos is 39 and has demonstrated a recurring inability to stop disciplined grappling attempts, which Thainara utilizes at a high rate to control the geometry of the fight.
Why FightIQ Likes Thainara
Thainara: 1.82 sub attempts/15 min
Thainara: 4.54 takedowns/15 min
Thainara: 12:23 avg fight time
Expert Breakdown
How This Fight Plays Out
Alexia Thainara pulls it to the mat and hunts the sub.
Who drives it
Alexia Thainara
Hinge stat
Amanda Lemos's takedown defense
63%: if Amanda Lemos stays upright it's a striking fight; Alexia Thainara needs the mat
Projected location
Alexia Thainara's path
Pull guard or chain into takedowns; 1.82 sub attempts/15 once it hits the floor.
Amanda Lemos's path
Keep it at distance, 2.75 strikes/min; deny the clinch entries.
What moved the number
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Alexia Thainara
- Amanda Lemos
Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.