UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs Usman
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Seokhyeon Ko Prediction
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
"Mufasa"
11-2
+170
Odds+155
Welterweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score73
Seokhyeon Ko
"The Korean Tyson"
13-3
-205
Odds-225
Betting Odds
Odds not posted yet
FightIQ Verdict
FightIQ Lean
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani by Decision
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 50% to win · Medium confidence
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Medium
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
—
"Lebosnoyani's current win streak and well-rounded skill set make him the more reliable fighter in a matchup against Ko."
Expert Breakdown
Unable to generate analysis.
How This Fight Plays Out
Coin-flip on where it goes, hinges on Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani's TDD vs Seokhyeon Ko's entries.
Who drives it
Even
Hinge stat
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani's takedown defense
no data: no TDD data on Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, if it holds, striker's fight; if not, wrestler's
Projected location
Distance 56%Clinch 10%Ground 34%
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani's path
Defend Seokhyeon Ko's entries; if you sprawl, 4.77 strikes/min and 1 knockdowns/min decide it on the feet.
Seokhyeon Ko's path
Shoot behind 4 takedowns/15 at 63.16% accuracy vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani's —% TDD. Once it sticks, control the top and ride out rounds.
What moved the number
Opponent wrestling edge -4.9Momentum edge +0.7Age/decline edge +0.3
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
- Seokhyeon Ko