UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs Usman
Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan Prediction
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18-10
+275
Odds+260
Middleweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score77
Christian Leroy Duncan
"CLD"
15-3
-350
Odds-370
Betting Odds
Odds not posted yet
FightIQ Verdict
FightIQ Lean
Christian Leroy Duncan
Christian Leroy Duncan by KO/TKO (R2)
Christian Leroy Duncan 50% to win · Medium confidence
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Medium
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
—
"Duncan is younger and possesses greater striking precision, likely exploiting the durability concerns of an aging Cannonier."
Expert Breakdown
Unable to generate analysis.
How This Fight Plays Out
Kickboxing match, Christian Leroy Duncan has the output edge.
Who drives it
Christian Leroy Duncan
Hinge stat
who lands first / volume vs power
Jared Cannonier 4.25/min vs Christian Leroy Duncan 4.45/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it
Projected location
Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%
Jared Cannonier's path
Out-volume Christian Leroy Duncan at distance; 7 knockdowns/min if Christian Leroy Duncan walks in.
Christian Leroy Duncan's path
Out-volume Jared Cannonier at distance; 4 knockdowns/min if Jared Cannonier walks in.
What moved the number
1" reach disadvantage -0.4Opponent momentum edge -0.5Opponent style edge -2.2Opponent age/decline edge -1.8
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Jared Cannonier
- Christian Leroy Duncan