UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs Usman
Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman Prediction
Dricus Du Plessis
"Stilknocks"
24-3
-245
Odds-225
Middleweight
VS
5 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score80
Kamaru Usman
"Nigerian Nightmare"
21-5
+200
Odds+215
Betting Odds
Odds not posted yet
FightIQ Verdict
FightIQ Lean
Dricus Du Plessis
Dricus Du Plessis by Decision
Dricus Du Plessis 50% to win · Medium confidence
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Medium
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
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"Du Plessis's relentless pressure and awkward volume should allow him to edge out Usman over five rounds as the former champion deals with significant age-related decline."
Expert Breakdown
Unable to generate analysis.
How This Fight Plays Out
Grappling match, Kamaru Usman has the takedown volume edge.
Who drives it
Kamaru Usman
Hinge stat
takedown defense vs takedown volume
Dricus Du Plessis 50% / Kamaru Usman 50%: who lands on top decides the rounds
Projected location
Distance 44%Clinch 22%Ground 34%
Dricus Du Plessis's path
Out-wrestle Kamaru Usman, 2.22 TD/15; win the top position exchanges.
Kamaru Usman's path
Match the wrestling, 2.79 TD/15; deny Dricus Du Plessis's entries and reverse position.
What moved the number
Opponent style edge -2.2Age/decline edge +1.8
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Dricus Du Plessis
- Kamaru Usman