UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott

Nick Galanti vs Julien LeBlanc Prediction

Nick Galanti
Nick Galanti
9-1
UFC DebutComing from DWCS · 1-0
Middleweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score60
Julien LeBlanc
Julien LeBlanc
10-4

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Nick Galanti
Nick Galanti by Decision
Nick Galanti 65% to win · Medium confidence
Nick Galanti
65.3%
Julien LeBlanc
34.7%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Medium
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Medium

"Nick Galanti enters with significant regional momentum and a 75% career finish rate, while Julien LeBlanc is currently on a two-fight slide in the UFC. Given LeBlanc's struggles to secure wins against Robert Valentin and Gilbert Urbina, Galanti's aggressive grappling style provides the most viable path to victory."

What Everyone Misses

While LeBlanc has UFC experience, he has demonstrated a critical vulnerability to submission grappling against Robert Valentin; Galanti's propensity to finish fights in the first two rounds via submission aligns perfectly with this defensive lapse.

Why FightIQ Likes Galanti

1
Grappling

Galanti has 4 career submission victories

2
Cardio

Galanti went 5 rounds in a 2026 decision win

3
Momentum

Galanti is on a 6-fight win streak

Expert Breakdown

•Galanti has no UFC striking data
•LeBlanc lands 1.69 sig strikes/min with 66% accuracy
•LeBlanc's striking defense is 46%
•Galanti has 4 career submission victories
•LeBlanc was submitted by Robert Valentin in 2026
•LeBlanc has 2 career submission wins
•Both fighters have no recorded UFC takedown volume
•Both fighters have not demonstrated elite takedown defense in the UFC
•Galanti controls the clinch and transitions
•Galanti went 5 rounds in a 2026 decision win
•LeBlanc avg fight time is 2:22
•LeBlanc finished in 3 rounds by decision vs Gilbert Urbina
•Galanti has 1 career decision loss
•LeBlanc has 1 career KO/TKO loss
•LeBlanc has 1 career submission loss
•LeBlanc has 2 UFC fights against Gilbert Urbina and Robert Valentin
•Galanti has zero UFC experience
•Galanti faced tier 3 competition in CFFC
•Galanti is on a 6-fight win streak
•LeBlanc is on a 2-fight loss streak
•Galanti won vs Carlos Petruzzella and Austin Clayton

How This Fight Plays Out

Nick Galanti pulls it to the mat and hunts the sub.

Who drives it

Nick Galanti

Hinge stat

Julien LeBlanc's takedown defense

—%: if Julien LeBlanc stays upright it's a striking fight; Nick Galanti needs the mat

Projected location

Distance 69%Clinch 0%Ground 31%

Nick Galanti's path

Pull guard or chain into takedowns; 0 sub attempts/15 once it hits the floor.

Julien LeBlanc's path

Keep it at distance, 1.69 strikes/min; deny the clinch entries.

What moved the number

Momentum edge +0.6Style matchup edge +0.9Camp unknown 0Age/decline edge +0.6

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Nick Galanti
  • Julien LeBlanc

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.