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Tatiana Suarez vs Virna Jandiroba Prediction

Tatiana Suarez
Tatiana Suarez
"TSP"
13-1
W Strawweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score58
Virna Jandiroba
Virna Jandiroba
"Carcara"
23-4

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Tatiana Suarez
Tatiana Suarez by Decision
Tatiana Suarez 87% to win · High confidence
Tatiana Suarez
87.1%
Virna Jandiroba
12.9%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
High
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Low

"Tatiana Suarez holds a significant edge in output, accuracy, and wrestling dominance compared to Jandiroba. With a 91 FightIQ rating versus Jandiroba's 70, Suarez possesses the superior technical toolkit and proven ability to finish elite competition like Zhang Weili and Jessica Andrade."

What Everyone Misses

While Virna Jandiroba is a submission specialist, her takedown accuracy of 3% makes her almost entirely reliant on Suarez initiating the grappling exchanges, which plays perfectly into the superior wrestling control of Suarez.

FightIQ Blog

Tatiana Suarez vs Virna Jandiroba Prediction and Pick

Tatiana Suarez faces Virna Jandiroba in a pivotal strawweight showdown. We expect Tatiana Suarez to control the action and earn a decision victory over 3 rounds.

Why FightIQ Likes Suarez

1
Striking

Suarez: 2.86 sig-str/min at 60% accuracy

2
Grappling

Suarez: 0.66 sub-attempts/15

3
Wrestling

Suarez: 4.52 takedowns/15 at 45% accuracy

Expert Breakdown

•Suarez: 2.86 sig-str/min at 60% accuracy
•Jandiroba: 2.27 sig-str/min at 41% accuracy
•Suarez: 0.66 sub-attempts/15
•Jandiroba: 1.39 sub-attempts/15
•Suarez: 4.52 takedowns/15 at 45% accuracy
•Jandiroba: 3.13 takedowns/15 at 3% accuracy
•Suarez: proven 5-round performance
•Jandiroba: proven 5-round performance
•Suarez: 0 KO losses
•Jandiroba: 0 KO losses
•Suarez: 8-1 UFC record; notable wins vs Zhang Weili and Jessica Andrade
•Jandiroba: 4-1 UFC record; notable wins vs Yan Xiaonan and Amanda Lemos
•Suarez: 3-fight win streak vs Godinez, Xiaonan, and Weili
•Jandiroba: Recent win vs Tabatha Ricci; loss to Mackenzie Dern

How This Fight Plays Out

Grappling match, Tatiana Suarez has the takedown volume edge.

Who drives it

Tatiana Suarez

Hinge stat

takedown defense vs takedown volume

Tatiana Suarez 57% / Virna Jandiroba 56%: who lands on top decides the rounds

Projected location

Distance 31%Clinch 24%Ground 44%

Tatiana Suarez's path

Out-wrestle Virna Jandiroba, 4.52 TD/15; win the top position exchanges.

Virna Jandiroba's path

Match the wrestling, 3.13 TD/15; deny Tatiana Suarez's entries and reverse position.

What moved the number

Wrestling vs TDD edge +1.32" reach advantage +0.6Southpaw vs orthodox +0.8Style matchup edge +1.8Camp unknown 0Age/decline edge +0.3

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Tatiana Suarez
  • Virna Jandiroba

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.