UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady

Seokhyeon Ko vs Wellington Turman Prediction

Seokhyeon Ko
Seokhyeon Ko
"The Korean Tyson"
13-3
Welterweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score67
Wellington Turman
Wellington Turman
"The Prodigy"
18-8

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Seokhyeon Ko
Seokhyeon Ko by Decision
Seokhyeon Ko 72% to win · High confidence
Seokhyeon Ko
72%
Wellington Turman
28%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
High
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Medium

"Seokhyeon Ko is the more disciplined and active fighter, holding a significant statistical edge in striking accuracy and defensive stability. Wellington Turman enters on a three-fight losing streak with a lengthy layoff, making it difficult to trust his durability and competitive form against a younger, more consistent opponent."

What Everyone Misses

While Turman is a career grappler, Ko's superior takedown defense (70%) compared to Turman's poor takedown offensive accuracy (20.83%) suggests the fight will take place primarily on the feet where Ko's 68.05% striking accuracy will dictate the pace.

FightIQ Blog

Seokhyeon Ko vs Wellington Turman Prediction and Pick

Seokhyeon Ko will secure a decision victory against Wellington Turman at UFC Fight Night. This battle will go the distance as the fighters test their skills over 3 rounds.

Why FightIQ Likes Ko

1
Striking

Ko: 68.05% accuracy vs 2.73 sig-strikes/min

2
Wrestling

Ko: 4 takedowns/15 at 63.16% accuracy

3
Cardio

Ko: Regularly completes 15-minute bouts

Expert Breakdown

•Ko: 68.05% accuracy vs 2.73 sig-strikes/min
•Turman: 58.43% accuracy vs 3.23 sig-strikes/min
•Ko: 0.33 sub-attempts/15
•Turman: 0.78 sub-attempts/15
•Ko: 4 takedowns/15 at 63.16% accuracy
•Turman: 1.55 takedowns/15 at 20.83% accuracy
•Ko: Regularly completes 15-minute bouts
•Turman: Frequent fatigue in late rounds
•Ko: 2 KO losses in career
•Turman: 2 KO losses, 2 Sub losses
•Ko: UFC record 2-1
•Turman: UFC record 6-7
•Ko: 4-1 in last 5 fights
•Turman: On a 3-fight losing streak

How This Fight Plays Out

Seokhyeon Ko imposes the takedown and grinds Wellington Turman out on the mat.

Who drives it

Seokhyeon Ko

Hinge stat

Wellington Turman's takedown defense

43%: 43% TDD is porous, Seokhyeon Ko will plant Wellington Turman on the mat

Projected location

Distance 41%Clinch 14%Ground 45%

Seokhyeon Ko's path

Shoot behind 4 takedowns/15 at 63.16% accuracy vs Wellington Turman's 43% TDD. Once it sticks, control the top and ride out rounds.

Wellington Turman's path

Defend Seokhyeon Ko's entries; if you sprawl, 3.23 strikes/min and your power decide it on the feet. But the TDD is a real liability, one lazy sprawl and you're on your back for a round.

What moved the number

Wrestling vs TDD edge +1.6Southpaw vs orthodox +0.8Style matchup edge +2.4Opponent age/decline edge -0.3Ring rust edge +1.8

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Seokhyeon Ko
  • Wellington Turman

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.