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Mantas Kondratavičius vs Wes Schultz Prediction

Mantas Kondratavičius
Mantas Kondratavičius
9-1
Middleweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score62
Wes Schultz
Wes Schultz
"Party Time"
9-4

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Mantas Kondratavičius
Mantas Kondratavičius by KO/TKO (R1)
Mantas Kondratavičius 92% to win · High confidence
Mantas Kondratavičius
97.2%
Wes Schultz
2.8%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
High
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Low

"Mantas Kondratavičius rates 25 points higher than Wes Schultz and possesses a vastly superior statistical profile in striking and wrestling defense. With Schultz showing severe durability flaws against strikers like Jackson McVey and Damian Pinas, Kondratavičius is heavily favored to secure a finish."

What Everyone Misses

Wes Schultz's inability to defend takedowns is not just a statistical void; it is a fundamental mechanical failure that Kondratavičius’s 92% takedown defense ensures will keep the fight in the standing range where Schultz is statistically outmatched.

FightIQ Blog

Mantas Kondratavičius vs Wes Schultz Prediction and Pick

Mantas Kondratavicius will finish Wes Schultz in the first round of their middleweight showdown. This matchup presents a clear path to victory for the 27 year old rising contender.

Why FightIQ Likes Kondratavičius

1
Striking

Kondratavičius: 4.97 sig. strikes/min at 65% accuracy

2
Grappling

Kondratavičius: 0.93 sub attempts/15 minutes

3
Wrestling

Kondratavičius: 92% takedown defense

Expert Breakdown

•Kondratavičius: 4.97 sig. strikes/min at 65% accuracy
•Schultz: 2.91 sig. strikes/min at 46% accuracy
•Kondratavičius: 0.93 sub attempts/15 minutes
•Schultz: 0 sub attempts/15 minutes
•Kondratavičius: 92% takedown defense
•Schultz: 0 takedowns/15 minutes, 0% TD defense
•Kondratavičius: Went 3 full rounds against Antonio Trócoli
•Schultz: Average fight time of 6:17
•Schultz: Two KO/TKO losses in last 3 fights
•Kondratavičius: 0 KO/TKO losses in professional career
•Kondratavičius: Defeated Antonio Trócoli and Djani Barbir
•Schultz: Defeated Ben Johnston, lost to Jackson McVey and Damian Pinas
•Kondratavičius: 4-fight win streak
•Schultz: Coming off a knockout loss

How This Fight Plays Out

Kickboxing match, Mantas Kondratavičius has the output edge.

Who drives it

Mantas Kondratavičius

Hinge stat

who lands first / volume vs power

Mantas Kondratavičius 4.97/min vs Wes Schultz 2.91/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it

Projected location

Distance 87%Clinch 0%Ground 13%

Mantas Kondratavičius's path

Out-volume Wes Schultz at distance; power on the counter if Wes Schultz walks in.

Wes Schultz's path

Out-volume Mantas Kondratavičius at distance; 1.2 knockdowns/min if Mantas Kondratavičius walks in.

What moved the number

Wrestling vs TDD edge +5.91" reach disadvantage -0.4Momentum edge +0.4Style matchup edge +1.5Camp unknown 0

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Mantas Kondratavičius
  • Wes Schultz

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.