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Jose Delano vs Murtazali Magomedov Prediction

Jose Delano
Jose Delano
"Ze"
17-3
Featherweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score67
Murtazali Magomedov
Murtazali Magomedov
"The Highlight"
11-0

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Murtazali Magomedov
Murtazali Magomedov by Submission (R1)
Murtazali Magomedov 82% to win · High confidence
Jose Delano
17.2%
Murtazali Magomedov
82.8%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
High
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Low

"Murtazali Magomedov represents a significant step up in finishing ability and grappling pressure for Jose Delano. While Delano is a high-volume striker, Magomedov’s elite ability to force immediate transitions to the mat and find submissions makes him a dominant favorite."

What Everyone Misses

Casual fans see Delano's high volume of 8.43 sig strikes per minute and assume he can outpoint Magomedov, but they ignore that Delano has zero takedowns and struggles against grapplers, whereas Magomedov’s entire game revolves around ending fights on the mat before the striker can establish a rhythm.

FightIQ Blog

Jose Delano vs Murtazali Magomedov Prediction and Pick

Murtazali Magomedov will utilize his superior grappling to secure an early victory against Jose Delano. This featherweight matchup concludes with a submission win for Magomedov in round 1.

Why FightIQ Likes Magomedov

1
Grappling

Magomedov averages 5.2 submission attempts per 15 minutes

2
Wrestling

Magomedov lands 5.17 takedowns per 15 minutes

3
Durability

Delano has lost by submission to Jean Silva

Expert Breakdown

•Delano lands 8.43 sig strikes per minute at 64% accuracy
•Magomedov averages 4.83 sig strikes per minute at 48% accuracy
•Magomedov averages 5.2 submission attempts per 15 minutes
•Delano has zero recorded submission attempts or takedowns
•Magomedov lands 5.17 takedowns per 15 minutes
•Delano has 75% takedown defense but zero offensive wrestling
•Delano has gone to decision in 4 of his 6 UFC fights
•Magomedov finishes his opponents almost exclusively in the first round
•Delano has lost by submission to Jean Silva
•Magomedov remains undefeated with no recorded losses
•Delano has 6 UFC bouts including fights against Andre Fili and Nathaniel Wood
•Magomedov has 5 UFC bouts including wins over Melsik Baghdasaryan and Raul Tukhugov
•Magomedov is on a 7-fight win streak dating back to 2017
•Delano is coming off a submission loss to Jean Silva

How This Fight Plays Out

Jose Delano edges it on the feet; Murtazali Magomedov needs the takedown to flip the script.

Who drives it

Jose Delano

Hinge stat

Jose Delano's takedown defense

75%: 75% TDD is high; Murtazali Magomedov can still grind but the edge tilts to Jose Delano

Projected location

Distance 80%Clinch 4%Ground 15%

Jose Delano's path

Defend Murtazali Magomedov's entries; if you sprawl, 8.43 strikes/min and your power decide it on the feet.

Murtazali Magomedov's path

Shoot behind 5.17 takedowns/15 at 50% accuracy vs Jose Delano's 75% TDD. The entries will be contested, chain attempts and mix in fence wrestling; if it stays standing you're losing.

What moved the number

Wrestling vs TDD edge +2.4Opponent momentum edge -0.8Style matchup edge +1.3Camp unknown 0Opponent age/decline edge -0.3

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Jose Delano
  • Murtazali Magomedov

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.