Melissa Gatto vs Ernesta Kareckaitė Prediction
Betting Odds
Odds not posted yet
FightIQ Verdict
"The rating gap is only 0 points, this is a toss-up, not a real edge. Confidence is low, this is a coin-flip fight. The win probabilities favor Melissa Gatto (51%), and the pick follows the numbers."
The massive reach disparity of 2 inches combined with Kareckaitė's high output of 7.28 strikes per minute will force Gatto to overcommit on entries, likely negating Gatto's own takedown attempts.
The win probabilities favor Melissa Gatto (51%), and the pick follows the numbers.
Why FightIQ Likes Gatto
Gatto has 6 UFC bouts, notably facing Dione Barbosa and Tracy Cortez
Expert Breakdown
How This Fight Plays Out
Kickboxing match, Ernesta Kareckaitė has the output edge.
Who drives it
Ernesta Kareckaitė
Hinge stat
who lands first / volume vs power
Melissa Gatto 3.47/min vs Ernesta Kareckaitė 7.28/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it
Projected location
Melissa Gatto's path
Out-volume Ernesta Kareckaitė at distance; 0.2 knockdowns/min if Ernesta Kareckaitė walks in.
Ernesta Kareckaitė's path
Out-volume Melissa Gatto at distance; power on the counter if Melissa Gatto walks in.
What moved the number
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Melissa Gatto
- Ernesta Kareckaitė
Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.