UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan

Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris Prediction

Allen Frye Jr.
Allen Frye Jr.
"AJ"
6-1
Heavyweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score71
RJ Harris
RJ Harris
"The Hammer"
5-0

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
RJ Harris
RJ Harris by Decision
RJ Harris 79% to win · Low confidence
Allen Frye Jr.
21.1%
RJ Harris
78.9%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Low
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Medium

"RJ Harris showcases significantly higher striking volume and finishing intent compared to Allen Frye Jr., who struggled to impose his will in his lone UFC appearance. Given Harris’s 5-fight win streak and explosive output, he possesses the necessary tools to overwhelm Frye early."

What Everyone Misses

While Frye possesses a massive physical frame at 6'5", he lacks the output to utilize that reach; Harris's ability to maintain high pressure despite a shorter reach indicates superior footwork and closing speed.

Why FightIQ Likes Harris

1
Striking

RJ Harris: 9.0 sig strikes/min at 58% accuracy

2
Grappling

RJ Harris: 2 submission wins vs Phillip Latu and Charlie Cleveland

3
Experience

RJ Harris: Wins over Alvin Hines and Phillip Latu

Expert Breakdown

•RJ Harris: 9.0 sig strikes/min at 58% accuracy
•Allen Frye Jr.: 2.2 sig strikes/min at 38% accuracy
•RJ Harris: 2 submission wins vs Phillip Latu and Charlie Cleveland
•Allen Frye Jr.: 0 submission attempts
•Both fighters: 0 takedowns per 15 minutes
•Allen Frye Jr.: 0% takedown defense
•RJ Harris: 15-minute performance against Austin Green
•Allen Frye Jr.: 15-minute performance against Guilherme Pat
•RJ Harris: 0 losses
•Allen Frye Jr.: 0 KO/TKO losses
•RJ Harris: Wins over Alvin Hines and Phillip Latu
•Allen Frye Jr.: Losses vs Guilherme Pat; wins over Justin Frazier and Ryan Shough
•RJ Harris: 5-fight win streak including Alvin Hines and Phillip Latu
•Allen Frye Jr.: Last result loss vs Guilherme Pat

How This Fight Plays Out

Kickboxing match, RJ Harris has the output edge.

Who drives it

RJ Harris

Hinge stat

who lands first / volume vs power

Allen Frye Jr. 2.2/min vs RJ Harris 9/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it

Projected location

Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%

Allen Frye Jr.'s path

Out-volume RJ Harris at distance; power on the counter if RJ Harris walks in.

RJ Harris's path

Out-volume Allen Frye Jr. at distance; 9 knockdowns/min if Allen Frye Jr. walks in.

What moved the number

Opponent wrestling edge -3.33" reach advantage +0.8Opponent momentum edge -0.6Opponent style edge -0.2Camp unknown 0Opponent ring rust edge -0.4