UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit

Uroš Medić vs Kevin Holland Prediction

Uroš Medić
Uroš Medić
"The Doctor"
14-3
Welterweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score70
Kevin Holland
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29-15

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Uroš Medić
Uroš Medić by KO/TKO (R1)
Uroš Medić 87% to win · High confidence
Uroš Medić
86.5%
Kevin Holland
13.5%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
High
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Low

"Uroš Medić is currently a force of nature, riding a 4-fight streak where he has decimated opponents in the first round with 3.42 knockdowns per 15 minutes. Kevin Holland possesses the reach advantage, but his lack of finishing consistency and recent decision-heavy record suggest he cannot withstand Medić’s aggressive, high-output striking pace."

What Everyone Misses

Casual fans see Holland's reach and height, but they overlook that Medić has a 100% career finish rate, meaning he does not need to win the technical chess match—he only needs one opening to end the fight, which his 62% striking accuracy consistently creates.

FightIQ Blog

Uroš Medić vs Kevin Holland Prediction and Pick

Uroš Medić takes on Kevin Holland at UFC 334 in a welterweight clash. We expect Uroš Medić to secure a quick victory by landing a knockout blow in round 1.

Why FightIQ Likes Medić

1
Striking

Medić: 5.59 sig-strikes/min at 62.16% accuracy

2
Durability

Medić: 1 career KO loss

3
Momentum

Medić: 4-fight KO/TKO win streak

Expert Breakdown

•Medić: 5.59 sig-strikes/min at 62.16% accuracy
•Holland: 4.24 sig-strikes/min with no recorded knockdowns
•Holland: 0.6 sub attempts/15
•Medić: No sub attempts/15 recorded
•Holland: 0.79 takedowns/15 at 0.43% accuracy
•Medić: 0.34 takedowns/15 at 50% accuracy
•Medić: Avg fight time 3:59
•Holland: Frequently goes 3 rounds
•Medić: 1 career KO loss
•Holland: 2 career KO losses, 4 sub losses
•Holland: 28 UFC fights
•Medić: 11 UFC fights
•Medić: 4-fight KO/TKO win streak
•Holland: 3-3 in last 6 fights

How This Fight Plays Out

Kickboxing match, Uroš Medić has the output edge.

Who drives it

Uroš Medić

Hinge stat

who lands first / volume vs power

Uroš Medić 5.59/min vs Kevin Holland 4.24/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it

Projected location

Distance 97%Clinch 0%Ground 3%

Uroš Medić's path

Out-volume Kevin Holland at distance; 3.42 knockdowns/min if Kevin Holland walks in.

Kevin Holland's path

Out-volume Uroš Medić at distance; power on the counter if Uroš Medić walks in.

What moved the number

Wrestling vs TDD edge +3.4Power vs chin edge +0.610" reach disadvantage -2Southpaw vs orthodox +0.8Momentum edge +0.4Style matchup edge +2.2Camp unknown 0

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Uroš Medić
  • Kevin Holland

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.