UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit

Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit Prediction

Ciryl Gane
Ciryl Gane
"Bon Gamin"
14-2
Heavyweight
VS
5 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score89
Josh Hokit
Josh Hokit
"The Incredible Hulk"
10-0

Betting Odds

manual line · 8 snapshots
Ciryl Gane
-250DraftKings
flatopen -250
68.5% impliedEdge -25.5
Josh Hokit
+216BetOnline.ag
flatopen +216
30.5% impliedEdge +26.5

Line movement since opening

Oct 19 17:31Oct 19 17:3130%45%73%

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Josh Hokit
Josh Hokit by KO/TKO (R1)
Josh Hokit 57% to win · Medium confidence
Ciryl Gane
43.5%
Josh Hokit
56.5%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Medium
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Low

"Josh Hokit holds the stylistic keys here, as his superior wrestling, output, and TD defense force Gane out of his preferred distance-management striking game. While Gane is the more seasoned veteran, Hokit's aggressive pace and ability to dictate the location of the fight turn this into a difficult night for the Frenchman."

What Everyone Misses

Ciryl Gane’s TD defense (47%) is alarmingly porous for a top-tier heavyweight; casual observers overlook that Hokit doesn't just shoot for takedowns, he chains them at a rate of 3.73 per 15 minutes, which will exhaust Gane’s defensive reserves early.

FightIQ Blog

Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit Prediction and Pick

Josh Hokit secures a victory over Ciryl Gane by knocking him out in the 1st round. This heavyweight clash highlights a major shift in the division hierarchy as the undefeated prospect faces the veteran fighter.

Why FightIQ Likes Hokit

1
Striking

Hokit lands 9.29 sig strikes/min vs Gane's 5.4

2
Grappling

Hokit 3.73 takedowns/15 minutes

3
Wrestling

Hokit 78% TD defense

Expert Breakdown

•Hokit lands 9.29 sig strikes/min vs Gane's 5.4
•Hokit holds a 65% accuracy rate
•Hokit 3.73 takedowns/15 minutes
•Gane 0.66 takedowns/15 minutes
•Hokit 78% TD defense
•Gane 47% TD defense
•Hokit's 10-fight streak demonstrates elite consistency
•Gane has proven to be a 3-round or 5-round durable presence
•Hokit has zero career losses
•Gane has one submission loss vs Jon Jones
•Gane 13 UFC bouts: wins over Alex Pereira, Alexander Volkov
•Hokit 4 UFC bouts: wins over Derrick Lewis, Curtis Blaydes
•Gane on 3-fight win streak
•Hokit on 10-fight win streak

How This Fight Plays Out

Kickboxing match, Josh Hokit has the output edge.

Who drives it

Josh Hokit

Hinge stat

who lands first / volume vs power

Ciryl Gane 5.4/min vs Josh Hokit 9.29/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it

Projected location

Distance 88%Clinch 0%Ground 11%

Ciryl Gane's path

Out-volume Josh Hokit at distance; power on the counter if Josh Hokit walks in.

Josh Hokit's path

Out-volume Ciryl Gane at distance; power on the counter if Ciryl Gane walks in.

What moved the number

Opponent wrestling edge -2.98" reach advantage +2Opponent momentum edge -0.8Opponent style edge -1.7Camp unknown 0Opponent age/decline edge -0.6

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD DefenseFinish Rate
  • Ciryl Gane
  • Josh Hokit