UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit

Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule Prediction

Bilal Hasan
Bilal Hasan
"The IndoNinja"
10-0
Flyweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score71
Luis Gurule
Luis Gurule
"Grim"
11-4

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Bilal Hasan
Bilal Hasan by KO/TKO (R1)
Bilal Hasan 92% to win · High confidence
Bilal Hasan
96.2%
Luis Gurule
3.8%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
High
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Low

"Bilal Hasan is a high-output finisher with a 90% career finish rate, whereas Luis Gurule has shown zero finishing ability in his professional career. Hasan holds a significant physical advantage and statistical dominance in striking volume, making him a heavy favorite against the defensively compromised Gurule."

What Everyone Misses

The discrepancy in raw physical output: Hasan operates at an elite 9.01 sig-strikes/min while finishing fights in under a minute on average, whereas Gurule lacks the volume and power to force Hasan into a extended defensive battle.

FightIQ Blog

Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule Prediction and Pick

Bilal Hasan enters the cage as a heavy favorite to defeat Luis Gurule via a quick first round knockout at UFC 334. The young striker possesses the speed and power necessary to overwhelm his veteran opponent early in the fight.

Why FightIQ Likes Hasan

1
Striking

Hasan: 9.01 sig-strikes/min with 47% accuracy

2
Grappling

Hasan: 90% career finish rate with limited sub-defensive data

3
Durability

Hasan: No recorded losses

Expert Breakdown

•Hasan: 9.01 sig-strikes/min with 47% accuracy
•Gurule: 5.44 sig-strikes/min with 43% accuracy
•Hasan: 90% career finish rate with limited sub-defensive data
•Gurule: 0.2 sub-attempts/15, last loss to Rei Tsuruya by submission
•Hasan: 0 takedowns/15
•Gurule: 0.64 takedowns/15, 60% TD defense
•Hasan: 0:45 average fight time
•Gurule: Extended regular rounds against Barez, Coria, and Aguilar
•Hasan: No recorded losses
•Gurule: Losses to Ode Osbourne by KO/TKO and Rei Tsuruya by submission
•Hasan: 1-0 in UFC
•Gurule: 1-4 in UFC
•Hasan: 10-fight win streak
•Gurule: Lost 3 of his last 4 fights

How This Fight Plays Out

Kickboxing match, Bilal Hasan has the output edge.

Who drives it

Bilal Hasan

Hinge stat

who lands first / volume vs power

Bilal Hasan 9.01/min vs Luis Gurule 5.44/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it

Projected location

Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%

Bilal Hasan's path

Out-volume Luis Gurule at distance; 20 knockdowns/min if Luis Gurule walks in.

Luis Gurule's path

Out-volume Bilal Hasan at distance; power on the counter if Bilal Hasan walks in.

What moved the number

Opponent wrestling edge -4.26" reach advantage +1.8Momentum edge +1.2Style matchup edge +1.7Camp unknown 0Age/decline edge +1.5

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Bilal Hasan
  • Luis Gurule

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.