UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang

Roberto Soldić vs Khaos Williams Prediction

Roberto Soldić
Roberto Soldić
21-5
UFC Debut
Welterweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score68
Khaos Williams
Khaos Williams
16-5

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Khaos Williams
Khaos Williams by KO/TKO (R1)
Khaos Williams 73% to win · Low confidence
Roberto Soldić
72.9%
Khaos Williams
27.1%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Low
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
High

"Khaos Williams possesses the proven UFC experience and consistent high-level striking output that Soldić lacks in his statistical profile. While Soldić is a dangerous finisher, his prolonged inactivity and lack of UFC-tested data make him an unreliable favorite against a veteran like Williams who has competed against Nikolay Veretennikov and Andreas Gustafsson."

What Everyone Misses

Roberto Soldić's historical KO percentage is inflated by regional competition; moving from that level to the UFC often results in a massive shock to the system, especially when facing a physically powerful, established UFC athlete like Khaos Williams who has already survived multiple UFC rounds.

Expert Breakdown

•Williams: 4.97 sig strikes/min with 39% accuracy
•Soldić: No UFC striking data available
•Williams: 0.5 sub attempts/15 minutes
•Soldić: No UFC grappling data available
•Williams: 42% takedown defense
•Soldić: No recorded UFC takedown defense or offense
•Williams: 11 UFC appearances show proven 3-round capability
•Soldić: Average fight time in major organizations has been extremely short
•Williams: Never finished by strikes in 11 UFC fights
•Soldić: Stopped by TKO/KO in his losses to Zebaztian Kadestam
•Williams: 11 UFC fights against fighters like Carlston Harris and Randy Brown
•Soldić: 1 UFC fight against Saygid Guseyn Arslanaliev
•Williams: Coming off a win over Nikolay Veretennikov
•Soldić: Last fight result was a win over Saygid Guseyn Arslanaliev

How This Fight Plays Out

Coin-flip on where it goes, hinges on Khaos Williams's TDD vs Roberto Soldić's entries.

Who drives it

Even

Hinge stat

Khaos Williams's takedown defense

42%: 42% TDD is porous, Roberto Soldić will plant Khaos Williams on the mat

Projected location

Distance 93%Clinch 1%Ground 7%

Roberto Soldić's path

Shoot behind 0 takedowns/15 at 0% accuracy vs Khaos Williams's 42% TDD. Once it sticks, control the top and ride out rounds.

Khaos Williams's path

Defend Roberto Soldić's entries; if you sprawl, 4.97 strikes/min and your power decide it on the feet. But the TDD is a real liability, one lazy sprawl and you're on your back for a round.

What moved the number

Opponent wrestling edge -3Opponent power vs chin edge -1.24" reach disadvantage -1.2Southpaw vs orthodox +0.8Camp unknown 0Age/decline edge +0.3Opponent ring rust edge -0.9

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD DefenseFinish Rate
  • Roberto Soldić
  • Khaos Williams