UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang

Damian Pinas vs Andrey Pulyaev Prediction

Damian Pinas
Damian Pinas
10-1
Middleweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score77
Andrey Pulyaev
Andrey Pulyaev
10-5

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Damian Pinas
Damian Pinas by KO/TKO (R1)
Damian Pinas 80% to win · Medium confidence
Damian Pinas
20.2%
Andrey Pulyaev
79.8%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Medium
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Low

"Damian Pinas is a high-octane finisher who combines explosive striking volume with a 100% finishing rate, while Andrey Pulyaev is currently struggling on a two-fight skid. Pinas’s superior efficiency and consistent first-round finishing prowess make him the clear favorite against a durable but aging and momentum-starved opponent."

What Everyone Misses

Pinas possesses an 85% takedown defense rate despite zero offensive wrestling stats, indicating he is structurally nearly impossible to ground for fighters like Pulyaev who lack elite chain wrestling.

Why FightIQ Likes Pinas

1
Experience

Pulyaev has faced Ruziboev, Duncan, and Klein

Expert Breakdown

•Pinas lands 6.33 sig-str/min at 63% accuracy
•Pulyaev lands 3.6 sig-str/min at 55% accuracy
•Pinas 85% TD defense; 100% finish rate
•Pulyaev 56% TD defense; 0 sub attempts/15
•Pinas 85% TD defense is elite
•Pulyaev 0% TD accuracy
•Pinas 70% first-round finish rate
•Pulyaev high-intensity attrition fighter
•Pinas 0 KO/Sub losses
•Pulyaev 1 KO and 1 Sub loss
•Pulyaev has faced Ruziboev, Duncan, and Klein
•Pinas has faced Almeida, Schultz, and Costa
•Pinas on a 6-fight win streak
•Pulyaev on a 2-fight loss streak

How This Fight Plays Out

Kickboxing match, Damian Pinas has the output edge.

Who drives it

Damian Pinas

Hinge stat

who lands first / volume vs power

Damian Pinas 6.33/min vs Andrey Pulyaev 3.6/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it

Projected location

Distance 100%Clinch 0%Ground 0%

Damian Pinas's path

Out-volume Andrey Pulyaev at distance; power on the counter if Andrey Pulyaev walks in.

Andrey Pulyaev's path

Out-volume Damian Pinas at distance; power on the counter if Damian Pinas walks in.

What moved the number

Wrestling vs TDD edge +1.42" reach advantage +0.4Opponent southpaw edge -0.8Momentum edge +0.6Style matchup edge +1.6Camp unknown 0

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD DefenseFinish Rate
  • Damian Pinas
  • Andrey Pulyaev