UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang

Court McGee vs Eric Nolan Prediction

Court McGee
Court McGee
22-14
Welterweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score59
Eric Nolan
"Night Time"
8-5

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Eric Nolan
Eric Nolan by Decision
Eric Nolan 50% to win · Low confidence
Court McGee
50%
Eric Nolan
50%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Low
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Medium

"The numbers point to Eric Nolan, who rates 11 points higher than Court McGee (42 vs 31) and holds the data-backed edge."

What Everyone Misses

Eric Nolan's 1.68 sig-strikes/min and 45% defense are catastrophic for a fighter with no wrestling utility; he is essentially a stationary target who lacks the defensive movement to survive against a high-volume grinder like McGee.

Executive Summary

The numbers point to Eric Nolan, who rates 11 points higher than Court McGee (42 vs 31) and holds the data-backed edge.

Why FightIQ Likes Nolan

1
Striking

McGee: 4.5 sig-strikes/min vs Nolan: 1.68 sig-strikes/min

2
Grappling

McGee: 0.7 sub-attempts/15 vs Nolan: 0

3
Wrestling

McGee: 1.78 takedowns/15

Expert Breakdown

•McGee: 4.5 sig-strikes/min vs Nolan: 1.68 sig-strikes/min
•McGee: 60% strike defense vs Nolan: 45% strike defense
•McGee: 0.7 sub-attempts/15 vs Nolan: 0
•McGee: 71% TD defense
•McGee: 1.78 takedowns/15
•Nolan: 0 takedowns/15
•McGee: 15-minute fight experience
•Nolan: 0 UFC-level stamina test
•Nolan: 0 KO losses
•McGee: 3 KO losses (Matt Brown, etc.)
•McGee: 27 UFC appearances
•Nolan: 2 UFC appearances
•McGee: 2-fight losing streak (Chiesa, Chiesa)
•Nolan: 2-fight losing streak (Hasanov, Susurkaev)

How This Fight Plays Out

Kickboxing match, Court McGee has the output edge.

Who drives it

Court McGee

Hinge stat

who lands first / volume vs power

Court McGee 4.5/min vs Eric Nolan 1.68/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it

Projected location

Distance 94%Clinch 0%Ground 6%

Court McGee's path

Out-volume Eric Nolan at distance; power on the counter if Eric Nolan walks in.

Eric Nolan's path

Out-volume Court McGee at distance; power on the counter if Court McGee walks in.

What moved the number

Wrestling vs TDD edge +3.275" reach advantage +2Style matchup edge +1.7Camp unknown 0Opponent age/decline edge -1.8Opponent ring rust edge -1.1

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Court McGee
  • Eric Nolan

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.