UFC 330

Ramiz Brahimaj vs Neil Magny Prediction

Ramiz Brahimaj
Ramiz Brahimaj
13-6
Welterweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score56
Neil Magny
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31-15

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Neil Magny
Neil Magny by Decision
Neil Magny 58% to win · Low confidence
Ramiz Brahimaj
42%
Neil Magny
58%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Low
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Medium

"Neil Magny’s superior volume and significantly higher experience against high-level opposition give him the edge in a matchup where both fighters are in a declining phase. While Brahimaj is a submission threat, Magny’s ability to dictate where the fight takes place and his consistent striking output should edge out a gritty, decision-prone contest."

What Everyone Misses

Casual fans fixate on Brahimaj’s 92% submission rate, but ignore his abysmal 14% takedown accuracy; he cannot force this fight into the grappling exchanges he needs to win, forcing him to engage in a striking match he is statistically ill-equipped to win.

Why FightIQ Likes Magny

1
Striking

Magny averages 3.4 sig strikes/min vs Brahimaj's 2.29

2
Wrestling

Magny lands 2.17 takedowns per 15 minutes

3
Cardio

Magny has extensive experience in 3 and 5-round bouts

Expert Breakdown

•Magny averages 3.4 sig strikes/min vs Brahimaj's 2.29
•Magny maintains 52% striking defense compared to Brahimaj's 47%
•Brahimaj averages 1.6 submission attempts per 15 minutes
•Magny has successfully navigated deep waters against elite grapplers
•Magny lands 2.17 takedowns per 15 minutes
•Brahimaj possesses a 45% takedown defense rate
•Magny has extensive experience in 3 and 5-round bouts
•Brahimaj's average fight time is 8:21
•Magny age 38, Brahimaj age 33
•Both fighters show vulnerability to striking-based finishes
•Magny has faced Yaroslav Amosov, Jake Matthews, and Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
•Brahimaj has faced Mickey Gall, Austin Vanderford, and Punahele Soriano
•Magny's recent record includes wins over Jake Matthews and Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
•Brahimaj's recent record includes wins over Mickey Gall and Austin Vanderford

How This Fight Plays Out

Ramiz Brahimaj pulls it to the mat and hunts the sub.

Who drives it

Ramiz Brahimaj

Hinge stat

Neil Magny's takedown defense

55%: if Neil Magny stays upright it's a striking fight; Ramiz Brahimaj needs the mat

Projected location

Distance 44%Clinch 6%Ground 50%

Ramiz Brahimaj's path

Pull guard or chain into takedowns; 1.6 sub attempts/15 once it hits the floor.

Neil Magny's path

Keep it at distance, 3.4 strikes/min; deny the clinch entries.

What moved the number

Opponent wrestling edge -0.88" reach disadvantage -2Style matchup edge +2.4Age/decline edge +1.2

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Ramiz Brahimaj
  • Neil Magny

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.