Marwan Rahiki vs Tommy McMillen Prediction
Betting Odds
Odds not posted yet
FightIQ Verdict
"The rating gap is only 3 points, this is a toss-up, not a real edge. Confidence is low, this is a coin-flip fight. This is a collision of two undefeated prospects with small UFC sample sizes, making this a high-variance matchup. McMillen holds a significant volume advantage and superior defensive metrics, which should allow him to dictate the pace against the high-power, lower-volume Rahiki."
While Rahiki appears more dangerous with his 88% KO rate, McMillen's staggering 13.54 strikes per minute suggests he is a relentless pace-setter who will force Rahiki to engage in a high-volume firefight, stripping away the time and space Rahiki needs to land his power shots.
This is a collision of two undefeated prospects with small UFC sample sizes, making this a high-variance matchup. McMillen holds a significant volume advantage and superior defensive metrics, which should allow him to dictate the pace against the high-power, lower-volume Rahiki.
Why FightIQ Likes McMillen
McMillen lands 13.54 sig-str/min compared to Rahiki's 7.75
McMillen has 5 submission wins, Rahiki has 1
McMillen averages 10:49 per fight, Rahiki averages 6:40
Expert Breakdown
How This Fight Plays Out
Kickboxing match, Tommy McMillen has the output edge.
Who drives it
Tommy McMillen
Hinge stat
who lands first / volume vs power
Marwan Rahiki 7.75/min vs Tommy McMillen 13.54/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it
Projected location
Marwan Rahiki's path
Out-volume Tommy McMillen at distance; 2.25 knockdowns/min if Tommy McMillen walks in.
Tommy McMillen's path
Out-volume Marwan Rahiki at distance; 1.39 knockdowns/min if Marwan Rahiki walks in.
What moved the number
Style Radar
measured edges, side by side- Marwan Rahiki
- Tommy McMillen