Noche UFC

Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt Prediction

Drakkar Klose
16-3-1
Lightweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score72
Tommy Gantt
12-0

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Tommy Gantt
Tommy Gantt by KO/TKO (R2)
Tommy Gantt 47% to win · Low confidence
Drakkar Klose
99%
Tommy Gantt
1%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Low
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Medium

"Drakkar Klose holds a significant advantage in proven UFC-level experience and high-volume striking capability against Tommy Gantt's regional-heavy resume. While Gantt shows promise with high-volume wrestling, he has yet to be tested by an established veteran of Klose's caliber, making Klose the logical pick to maintain control in a three-round affair."

What Everyone Misses

Tommy Gantt's 7.0 takedowns per 15 minutes is a massive red flag for his gas tank; most regional fighters who rely on overwhelming wrestling volume often experience a sharp, steep decline once they encounter an opponent who can defend the initial wave and make them work in the second round.

Executive Summary

Drakkar Klose holds a significant advantage in proven UFC-level experience and high-volume striking capability against Tommy Gantt's regional-heavy resume. While Gantt shows promise with high-volume wrestling, he has yet to be tested by an established veteran of Klose's caliber, making Klose the logical pick to maintain control in a three-round affair.

Why FightIQ Likes Klose

1
Striking

Klose averages 4.25 sig strikes/min with 55% accuracy

2
Cardio

Klose has gone 3 rounds regularly against Edson Barboza and Joaquim Silva

3
Experience

Klose has 13 UFC fights including wins over Edson Barboza and Joaquim Silva

Expert Breakdown

•Klose averages 4.25 sig strikes/min with 55% accuracy
•Gantt strikes at 2.18 sig strikes/min with 73.7% accuracy
•Klose has 0 sub attempts/15 min in his UFC career
•Gantt has 4 career submission wins on his regional record
•Gantt averages 7.0 takedowns/15 min
•Klose has a 69% takedown defense rate
•Klose has gone 3 rounds regularly against Edson Barboza and Joaquim Silva
•Gantt's longest fight has been 12:51 average time
•Klose has been finished by KO twice (Joel Alvarez)
•Gantt has zero professional losses
•Klose has 13 UFC fights including wins over Edson Barboza and Joaquim Silva
•Gantt has 1 UFC fight after a career on the regional circuit
•Klose is 4-1 in his last 5, including wins over Barboza and Silva
•Gantt is 12-0 with a 12-fight win streak

How This Fight Plays Out

Coin-flip on where it goes, hinges on Drakkar Klose's TDD vs Tommy Gantt's entries.

Who drives it

Even

Hinge stat

Drakkar Klose's takedown defense

69%: 69% TDD is middle-of-the-road, the entries decide it

Projected location

Distance 61%Clinch 11%Ground 28%

Drakkar Klose's path

Defend Tommy Gantt's entries; if you sprawl, 4.25 strikes/min and 2 knockdowns/min decide it on the feet.

Tommy Gantt's path

Shoot behind 7 takedowns/15 at 35% accuracy vs Drakkar Klose's 69% TDD. Once it sticks, control the top and ride out rounds.

What moved the number

Opponent wrestling edge -0.9Power vs chin edge +0.56" reach disadvantage -1.9Opponent momentum edge -1.3Camp unknown 0Opponent age/decline edge -0.9Opponent ring rust edge -0.8

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD DefenseFinish Rate
  • Drakkar Klose
  • Tommy Gantt