Noche UFC

Dan Ige vs David Martinez Prediction

Dan Ige
Dan Ige
"100 Grand"
19-11
+321
Odds+230
Bantamweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score64
David Martinez
David Martinez
14-1
-419
Odds-280

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
David Martinez
David Martinez by Decision
David Martinez 92% to win · Low confidence
Dan Ige
1%
David Martinez
99%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Low
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
Medium

"David Martinez is the younger, faster, and more defensively sound fighter, currently riding a high-momentum streak against UFC-caliber opponents. While Dan Ige has significant cage time, his decline in durability and high loss rate in competitive matchups against fighters like Lerone Murphy and Diego Lopes make him the vulnerable side of this equation."

What Everyone Misses

Dan Ige is fundamentally a pocket boxer who relies on trading, but his recent tape shows a declining ability to mitigate damage, whereas Martinez displays elite technical discipline and a 69% striking defense rate that neutralizes brawlers.

Why FightIQ Likes Martinez

1
Striking

Martinez averages 4.82 sig-strikes/min with 69% defense

2
Grappling

Ige has a low 0.22 sub attempts/15 rate

3
Wrestling

Ige has a poor 3% TD accuracy rate

Expert Breakdown

•Martinez averages 4.82 sig-strikes/min with 69% defense
•Ige averages 3.6 sig-strikes/min with 45% accuracy
•Ige has a low 0.22 sub attempts/15 rate
•Martinez holds 100% TD defense in his limited UFC tenure
•Ige has a poor 3% TD accuracy rate
•Martinez has neutralized all previous grappling threats in his 3-0 UFC run
•Martinez averages 12:25 fight time in his bouts
•Ige regularly competes in 3-round distance fights
•Ige has suffered 11 career losses, including a recent KO by Melquizael Costa
•Martinez has only 1 career loss, by decision
•Ige has faced high-level names like Patricio Freire, Lerone Murphy, and Diego Lopes
•Martinez has earned wins over Marlon Vera and Rob Font
•Martinez is on a 10-fight win streak
•Ige has lost two consecutive bouts against Melquizael Costa and Patricio Freire

How This Fight Plays Out

Kickboxing match, David Martinez has the output edge.

Who drives it

David Martinez

Hinge stat

who lands first / volume vs power

Dan Ige 3.6/min vs David Martinez 4.82/min: pure striking affair, output and chin decide it

Projected location

Distance 99%Clinch 0%Ground 1%

Dan Ige's path

Out-volume David Martinez at distance; 0.44 knockdowns/min if David Martinez walks in.

David Martinez's path

Out-volume Dan Ige at distance; 0.3 knockdowns/min if Dan Ige walks in.

What moved the number

Opponent wrestling edge -2.34" reach advantage +1.1Opponent momentum edge -0.9Opponent style edge -2.2Camp unknown 0Opponent age/decline edge -1.8

Style Radar

measured edges, side by side
Striking VolumeStriking Acc.TD AccuracyTD Defense
  • Dan Ige
  • David Martinez

Not shown (stat missing for a fighter): Finish Rate.