Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7

Jaden Ortega vs Alvi Dasuyev Prediction

Jaden Ortega
"The O"
6-0
UFC Debut
Welterweight
VS
3 × 5 min rounds
Excitement Score83
Alvi Dasuyev
"Spartan"
9-0
UFC Debut

Betting Odds

Odds not posted yet

FightIQ Verdict

FightIQ Lean
Alvi Dasuyev
Alvi Dasuyev by KO/TKO (R1)
Alvi Dasuyev 56% to win · Low confidence (coin flip)
Jaden Ortega
43.8%
Alvi Dasuyev
56.2%
Confidence
Model certainty, not win likelihood
Coin Flip
Upset Potential
How live is the underdog?
High

"Both fighters are making their UFC debut, this projection is built on regional records, league-tier competition ratings, and finish history from other promotions, not UFC-level stats. Confidence is capped accordingly. This is a classic 'unknown vs. unknown' matchup where both fighters rely heavily on regional finishing power. Alvi Dasuyev earns a slight lean due to a marginally higher strength of schedule, including a win in LFA, and a more diverse finishing toolkit that includes submission capability."

What Everyone Misses

The Southpaw stance advantage for Alvi Dasuyev against an orthodox striker like Ortega, combined with the fact that Ortega has almost exclusively faced lower-tier regional talent in Tier 5 organizations, makes him a massive question mark when facing a fellow undefeated finisher.

Executive Summary

This is a classic 'unknown vs. unknown' matchup where both fighters rely heavily on regional finishing power. Alvi Dasuyev earns a slight lean due to a marginally higher strength of schedule, including a win in LFA, and a more diverse finishing toolkit that includes submission capability.

Why FightIQ Likes Dasuyev

1
Grappling

Alvi Dasuyev: 3 wins by submission.

2
Experience

Alvi Dasuyev: Competition includes LFA (Tier 3) and Ares 41.

Expert Breakdown

•Jaden Ortega: 5 of 6 wins by KO/TKO.
•Alvi Dasuyev: 6 of 9 wins by KO/TKO.
•Alvi Dasuyev: 3 wins by submission.
•Jaden Ortega: 0 submissions in 6 professional bouts.
•No recorded takedown data for either athlete.
•Both fighters primarily finish standing or via clinch strikes.
•Jaden Ortega: Only one fight went to a third round.
•Alvi Dasuyev: One fight reached the third round.
•Jaden Ortega: 6-0-0 record, zero losses.
•Alvi Dasuyev: 9-0-0 record, zero losses.
•Alvi Dasuyev: Competition includes LFA (Tier 3) and Ares 41.
•Jaden Ortega: Competition limited to Combate Global and ExciteFight.
•Jaden Ortega: 6 fight win streak.
•Alvi Dasuyev: 9 fight win streak.

How This Fight Plays Out

Insufficient data: one or both fighters have no UFC striking or grappling stats, so the style interaction and likely location of the fight can't be projected yet. These populate once the weekly sync hydrates their numbers.

🇺🇸
Jaden Ortega
🇧🇪
Alvi Dasuyev