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Blog·UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit

Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes Prediction

Women's Bantamweight· November 14, 2026

The Pick

Winner Amanda NunesMethod DecisionRound Distance54%Coin Flip

FightIQ rating gap 20 points. Kayla Harrison rates 73 and Amanda Nunes rates 93.

Amanda Nunes is our locked pick to defeat Kayla Harrison by decision after 5 rounds. This marquee matchup highlights the veteran experience of the former champion against a dominant force moving into the spotlight.

The Numbers

Kayla Harrison carries a FightIQ rating of 73 and Amanda Nunes sits at 93, a gap of 20 points. The model win probability for Amanda Nunes stands at 54%, which the model treats as a coin flip.

The Stage is Set

The main event at UFC 334 features a clash of styles between 2 legends of the sport. Kayla Harrison brings a record of 19-1-0 into the cage while Amanda Nunes enters with a long resume showing 23-5-0. Fans are eager to see if the elite grappling of Harrison can withstand the proven power and pressure of the former titleholder.

Keys for Harrison

Kayla Harrison will rely on her 100% takedown defense to keep the action where she wants it. She lands 2.84 takedowns per 15 minutes and will look to control the pace early. Keeping the fight away from the power strikes of her opponent remains the primary objective for the Southpaw fighter.

The Nunes Path

Amanda Nunes maintains a steady output of 4.55 significant strikes per minute. She has navigated 18 UFC bouts and knows exactly how to manage a 5 round contest. Her ability to force the fight into uncomfortable positions will be critical as she looks to break down the defenses of her challenger.

Where the Fight Decides

This battle will be won in the transitions between standup exchanges and ground work. Nunes holds a strike defense of 57% and must remain sharp to avoid the clinch. If the bout stays standing, her precision and movement will make it difficult for Harrison to dictate the flow of the match.

The Official Final Call

We are locking in Amanda Nunes to secure the win by decision at the end of the full 5 rounds. While the skill gap is narrow, the championship experience of Nunes provides the necessary composure to handle the pressure. She will weather the early exchanges to pull away on the scorecards as the fight enters the later rounds.

See the full FightIQ breakdown for this fight

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